Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $861,123.10 - $3,107,447.47 | $2,739,836.47 |
| Multi-Stage | $390,506.81 - $427,443.28 | $408,635.93 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,574,236.20 | |
| Current Price | $115,500.00 | |
| Upside | 1,262.98% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 14.18% | 22.64% | 4,002.68 | 3,100.71 | 3,870.17 | 2,643.04 | 2,317.91 | 2,062.61 | 2,063.90 | 1,340.44 | 1,019.19 | 811.19 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 29.09% | -19.88% | 46.43% | 14.03% | 12.38% | -0.06% | 53.97% | 31.52% | 25.64% | 56.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.07% | 4.53% | 8.12% | 4.31% | 4.12% | 5.97% | 4.69% | 2.21% | 2.08% | 2.55% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 5,804,665.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,316,794.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 4,487,871.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1,160,933.00 | 725,583.13 | 435,349.88 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 4,487,871.00 | 4,487,871.00 | 4,487,871.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1,160,933.00 | -725,583.13 | -435,349.88 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 3,326,938.00 | 3,762,287.88 | 4,052,521.13 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 371.50 | 371.50 | 371.50 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 8,955.53 | 10,127.41 | 10,908.67 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 3,544.58 | 3,544.58 | 3,544.58 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 8,955.53 | 10,127.41 | 10,908.67 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 12,500.10 | 13,671.99 | 14,453.24 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $861,123.10 | $2,739,836.47 | $3,107,447.47 |
| Upside / Downside | 645.56% | 2,272.15% | 2,590.43% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 5,804,665.00 | 6,181,968.23 | 6,583,796.16 | 7,011,742.91 | 7,467,506.20 | 7,952,894.10 | 8,191,480.93 |
| Payout Ratio | 22.69% | 36.15% | 49.61% | 63.07% | 76.54% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,316,794.00 | 2,234,662.77 | 3,266,291.02 | 4,422,589.50 | 5,715,406.70 | 7,157,604.69 | 7,577,119.86 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 2,068,252.06 | 2,087,856.34 | 2,107,460.63 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,797,936.28 | 2,851,229.11 | 2,905,024.70 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 3,506,315.93 | 3,606,969.66 | 3,709,531.46 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 4,193,851.28 | 4,355,134.97 | 4,521,026.41 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 4,860,993.80 | 5,095,781.62 | 5,339,555.32 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 127,644,174.90 | 133,809,436.27 | 140,210,656.71 |
| Equity Value (M) | 145,071,524.25 | 151,806,407.97 | 158,793,255.23 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 371.50 | 371.50 | 371.50 |
| Fair Value | $390,506.81 | $408,635.93 | $427,443.28 |
| Upside / Downside | 238.10% | 253.80% | 270.08% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0293.HK | Cathay Pacific Airways Limited | 9.31% | $1.18 | 41.45% |
| ROMI3.SA | Romi S.A. | 9.31% | $0.74 | 73.26% |
| SKUE.OL | Skue Sparebank | 9.31% | $32.59 | 19.52% |
| 4589.TWO | Motion Technology Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd. | 9.30% | $3.25 | 67.47% |
| SSTRT.BK | Sub Sri Thai Real Estate Investment Trust | 9.30% | $0.40 | 78.24% |
| CLPI.JK | PT Colorpak Indonesia Tbk | 9.29% | $139.36 | 65.00% |
| GXH.NZ | Green Cross Health Limited | 9.27% | $0.10 | 47.49% |
| MOL.BD | MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyilvánosan Muködo Részvénytársaság | 9.27% | $272.60 | 77.71% |
| ORG.AX | Origin Energy Limited | 9.27% | $1.05 | 62.89% |
| 0259.HK | Yeebo (International Holdings) Limited | 9.26% | $0.36 | 11.31% |
| WEHB.BR | Wereldhave Belgium | 9.26% | $4.98 | 46.05% |
| 0KD1.L | Tubacex, S.A. | 9.24% | $0.32 | 99.60% |
| ACL.AX | Australian Clinical Labs Limited | 9.21% | $0.25 | 79.65% |
| BMRI.JK | PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk | 9.19% | $466.18 | 84.49% |
| 0116.HK | Chow Sang Sang Holdings International Limited | 9.18% | $1.12 | 39.62% |
| 2284.SR | Modern Mills for Food Products Co. | 9.18% | $2.64 | 99.54% |
| CGRA3.SA | Grazziotin S.A. | 9.18% | $2.57 | 51.61% |
| 0OPJ.L | ABC arbitrage S.A. | 9.17% | $0.50 | 56.87% |
| 000543.SZ | An Hui Wenergy Company Limited | 9.16% | $0.73 | 69.19% |
| PANR.JK | PT Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk | 9.16% | $60.00 | 23.97% |
| CQR.AX | Charter Hall Retail REIT | 9.15% | $0.37 | 94.16% |
| ILINK.BK | Interlink Communication Public Company Limited | 9.14% | $0.43 | 60.06% |
| ELD.AX | Elders Limited | 9.10% | $0.62 | 84.73% |
| GOP.WA | Games Operators S.A. | 9.09% | $1.00 | 94.94% |
| 000544.SZ | Zhongyuan Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. | 9.08% | $0.76 | 69.45% |
| DIRR3.SA | Direcional Engenharia S.A. | 9.08% | $1.24 | 85.08% |
| BMKS3.SA | Bicicletas Monark S.A. | 9.07% | $33.58 | 19.86% |
| WHA.AS | Wereldhave N.V. | 9.07% | $1.75 | 42.00% |
| ARBS.MI | Arterra Bioscience | 9.06% | $0.28 | 56.80% |
| WMI.AX | WAM Microcap Limited | 9.06% | $0.15 | 52.69% |
| 2386.HK | SINOPEC Engineering (Group) Co., Ltd. | 9.05% | $0.69 | 61.95% |
| FGX.AX | Future Generation Australia Limited | 9.05% | $0.12 | 56.23% |
| 0011.HK | Hang Seng Bank Limited | 9.04% | $13.92 | 81.46% |
| 0552.HK | China Communications Services Corporation Limited | 9.04% | $0.42 | 39.96% |
| 3092.SR | Riyadh Cement Company | 9.03% | $2.16 | 53.08% |
| 3320.HK | China Resources Pharmaceutical Group Limited | 9.01% | $0.41 | 35.95% |
| DF.TO | Dividend 15 Split Corp. II | 9.01% | $0.68 | 14.59% |
| SIGN.SW | SIG Group AG | 9.01% | $1.02 | 82.02% |
| ODPV3.SA | Odontoprev S.A. | 9.00% | $1.01 | 95.59% |
| CDO.AX | Cadence Opportunities Fund Limited | 8.99% | $0.17 | 71.14% |
| MDARA.RG | AS MADARA Cosmetics | 8.97% | $0.93 | 55.30% |
| SRIPANWA.BK | Sri panwa Hospitality Real Estate Investment Trust | 8.97% | $0.45 | 52.90% |
| ASK.AX | Abacus Storage King | 8.96% | $0.14 | 41.63% |
| BBAJIOO.MX | Banco del Bajío, S.A., Institución de Banca Múltiple | 8.95% | $4.10 | 50.16% |
| COFA.PA | Coface S.A. | 8.95% | $1.40 | 91.04% |
| 0002.HK | CLP Holdings Limited | 8.94% | $6.25 | 82.57% |
| 2636.TW | T3EX Global Holdings Corp. | 8.94% | $6.00 | 73.34% |
| IFS | Intercorp Financial Services Inc. | 8.94% | $3.77 | 21.42% |
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| 6963.HK | Sunshine Insurance Group Company Limited | 8.92% | $0.35 | 41.98% |