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Origin Energy Limited

ID: ORG.AX SECTOR: Energy INDUSTRY: Oil & Gas Integrated
12.37
-0.01 (-0.08%)
Ref: 2026-04-13
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $38.05 - $98.17 $56.52
Multi-Stage DDM $12.64 - $13.82 $13.22
Blended Fair Value $34.87
Stock Price$11.90

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.5750.4740.3280.1780.1940.2690.0940.0010.0010.265
YoY % 21.44%44.34%83.84%-7.90%-28.00%187.50%8,165.28%-0.64%-99.57%-38.75%
Yield 4.84%3.98%2.76%1.50%1.63%2.26%0.79%0.01%0.01%2.23%

CAGRValue
5 Year16.40%
10 Year2.89%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $38.05 - $98.17 $56.52

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 973.71 973.71 973.71
(=) Cash Required 194.74 121.71 73.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.69 0.75 0.79
LTM Dividend per Share 0.575 0.575 0.575
(=) Adjusted Dividend 1.262 1.327 1.370

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 973.71 1,037.001,104.401,176.191,252.641,334.06
Projected Dividends 651.99 259.25452.81670.43914.431,200.66

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 245.98 248.32 250.65
Year 2 PV 390.46 397.90 405.41
Year 3 PV 525.40 540.49 555.86
Year 4 PV 651.28 676.33 702.09
Year 5 PV 777.17 814.70 853.68
TV PV 11,738.46 12,305.43 12,894.10
Equity Value 14,328.75 14,983.16 15,661.78
Fair Value $12.64 $13.22 $13.82

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SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
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SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
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ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
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