Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Chengdu Galaxy Magnets Co.,Ltd. (300127.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.45 - $26.98$16.86
Multi-Stage$11.02 - $12.04$11.52
Blended Fair Value$14.19
Current Price$32.05
Upside-55.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.84%10.38%0.400.400.450.350.350.350.450.250.200.15
YoY Growth---0.05%-10.49%28.57%0.00%0.00%-22.22%80.00%25.00%33.33%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.74%2.67%2.76%1.85%2.20%2.36%3.35%1.54%1.09%1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)178.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)113.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.7122.3213.39
Cash Retained (M)65.0365.0365.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.71-22.32-13.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.3142.7151.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)323.70323.70323.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate3.80%4.80%5.80%
Fair Value$11.45$16.86$26.98
Upside / Downside-64.28%-47.41%-15.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)178.56187.13196.10205.51215.37225.70232.47
Payout Ratio63.58%68.87%74.15%79.43%84.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)113.54128.87145.41163.24182.45203.13215.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate3.80%4.80%5.80%
Year 1 PV (M)118.41119.55120.69
Year 2 PV (M)122.76125.14127.53
Year 3 PV (M)126.62130.32134.09
Year 4 PV (M)130.03135.12140.35
Year 5 PV (M)133.02139.55146.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,935.233,079.373,229.13
Equity Value (M)3,566.073,729.043,898.12
Shares Outstanding (M)323.70323.70323.70
Fair Value$11.02$11.52$12.04
Upside / Downside-65.63%-64.06%-62.43%

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