Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Chengdu Galaxy Magnets Co.,Ltd. (300127.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.39 - $12.86$9.73
Multi-Stage$7.45 - $8.13$7.78
Blended Fair Value$8.76
Current Price$32.05
Upside-72.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.84%10.38%0.400.400.450.350.350.350.450.250.200.15
YoY Growth---0.05%-10.49%28.57%0.00%0.00%-22.22%80.00%25.00%33.33%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.74%2.67%2.76%1.85%2.20%2.36%3.35%1.54%1.09%1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)178.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)113.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.7122.3213.39
Cash Retained (M)65.0365.0365.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.71-22.32-13.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.3142.7151.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)323.70323.70323.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate3.80%4.80%5.80%
Fair Value$7.39$9.73$12.86
Upside / Downside-76.94%-69.64%-59.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)178.56187.13196.10205.51215.37225.70232.47
Payout Ratio63.58%68.87%74.15%79.43%84.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)113.54128.87145.41163.24182.45203.13215.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate3.80%4.80%5.80%
Year 1 PV (M)116.04117.16118.28
Year 2 PV (M)117.90120.18122.49
Year 3 PV (M)119.18122.66126.21
Year 4 PV (M)119.95124.64129.46
Year 5 PV (M)120.25126.15132.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,819.781,909.152,001.99
Equity Value (M)2,413.102,519.942,630.72
Shares Outstanding (M)323.70323.70323.70
Fair Value$7.45$7.78$8.13
Upside / Downside-76.74%-75.71%-74.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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