Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Chengdu Galaxy Magnets Co.,Ltd. (300127.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$91.61 - $107.97$101.16
Multi-Stage$69.93 - $76.84$73.32
Blended Fair Value$87.24
Current Price$32.05
Upside172.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.84%10.38%0.400.400.450.350.350.350.450.250.200.15
YoY Growth---0.05%-10.49%28.57%0.00%0.00%-22.22%80.00%25.00%33.33%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.74%2.67%2.76%1.85%2.20%2.36%3.35%1.54%1.09%1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)178.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)113.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.7122.3213.39
Cash Retained (M)65.0365.0365.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.71-22.32-13.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.3142.7151.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)323.70323.70323.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate-1.23%-1.23%-1.23%
Growth Rate3.80%4.80%5.80%
Fair Value$91.61$101.16$107.97
Upside / Downside185.84%215.64%236.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)178.56187.13196.10205.51215.37225.70232.47
Payout Ratio63.58%68.87%74.15%79.43%84.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)113.54128.87145.41163.24182.45203.13215.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.23%-1.23%-1.23%
Growth Rate3.80%4.80%5.80%
Year 1 PV (M)129.23130.48131.72
Year 2 PV (M)146.23149.06151.92
Year 3 PV (M)164.62169.43174.33
Year 4 PV (M)184.51191.73199.15
Year 5 PV (M)206.00216.12226.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,807.4222,878.3523,990.94
Equity Value (M)22,638.0223,735.1624,874.69
Shares Outstanding (M)323.70323.70323.70
Fair Value$69.93$73.32$76.84
Upside / Downside118.20%128.78%139.76%

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