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Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$89.26 - $236.78$136.48
Multi-Stage$60.12 - $65.74$62.88
Blended Fair Value$99.68
Current Price$170.14
Upside-41.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.400.400.400.400.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.97%0.12%-1.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.42%0.39%0.41%0.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)129.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9918.1210.87
Cash Retained (M)129.53129.53129.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.99-18.12-10.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)100.54111.41118.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.1038.1038.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.642.923.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.642.923.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.043.333.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$89.26$136.48$236.78
Upside / Downside-47.54%-19.78%39.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.97154.40164.43175.12186.50198.63204.59
Payout Ratio10.65%26.52%42.39%58.26%74.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.4440.9569.70102.03138.26178.76189.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)37.1837.5337.88
Year 2 PV (M)57.4758.5659.67
Year 3 PV (M)76.3878.5780.80
Year 4 PV (M)93.9897.59101.31
Year 5 PV (M)110.33115.66121.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,915.402,007.922,103.97
Equity Value (M)2,290.742,395.842,504.84
Shares Outstanding (M)38.1038.1038.10
Fair Value$60.12$62.88$65.74
Upside / Downside-64.66%-63.04%-61.36%

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