Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Logista Integral, S.A. (LOG.MC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.30 - $33.00$27.42
Multi-Stage$21.45 - $23.19$22.30
Blended Fair Value$24.86
Current Price$28.90
Upside-13.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.70%10.02%2.081.911.431.251.191.201.141.100.950.75
YoY Growth--8.91%33.42%14.29%4.91%-0.17%5.23%3.58%15.78%26.52%-6.43%
Dividend Yield--7.20%6.55%5.85%5.31%6.82%7.55%5.66%5.02%4.94%3.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)343.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)275.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)68.7742.9825.79
Cash Retained (M)67.9167.9167.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-68.77-42.98-25.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.8624.9342.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)132.58132.58132.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.190.32
LTM Dividend per Share2.082.082.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.190.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.072.272.40
WACC / Discount Rate15.31%15.31%15.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.30$27.42$33.00
Upside / Downside-22.82%-5.12%14.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)343.85366.20390.01415.36442.36471.11485.24
Payout Ratio80.25%82.20%84.15%86.10%88.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)275.94301.02328.19357.62389.50424.00448.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate15.31%15.31%15.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)258.59261.04263.49
Year 2 PV (M)242.20246.81251.47
Year 3 PV (M)226.72233.23239.86
Year 4 PV (M)212.12220.28228.67
Year 5 PV (M)198.37207.95217.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,705.291,787.651,873.17
Equity Value (M)2,843.282,956.963,074.55
Shares Outstanding (M)132.58132.58132.58
Fair Value$21.45$22.30$23.19
Upside / Downside-25.79%-22.82%-19.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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