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Logista Integral, S.A. (LOG.MC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$219.79 - $515.81$483.39
Multi-Stage$78.29 - $85.57$81.86
Blended Fair Value$282.63
Current Price$28.90
Upside877.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.70%10.02%2.081.911.431.251.191.201.141.100.950.75
YoY Growth--8.91%33.42%14.29%4.91%-0.17%5.23%3.58%15.78%26.52%-6.43%
Dividend Yield--7.20%6.55%5.85%5.31%6.82%7.55%5.66%5.02%4.94%3.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)343.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)275.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)68.7742.9825.79
Cash Retained (M)67.9167.9167.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-68.77-42.98-25.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.8624.9342.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)132.58132.58132.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.190.32
LTM Dividend per Share2.082.082.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.190.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.072.272.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$219.79$483.39$515.81
Upside / Downside660.50%1,572.63%1,684.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)343.85366.20390.01415.36442.36471.11485.24
Payout Ratio80.25%82.20%84.15%86.10%88.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)275.94301.02328.19357.62389.50424.00448.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)280.00282.66285.31
Year 2 PV (M)283.97289.38294.83
Year 3 PV (M)287.83296.09304.51
Year 4 PV (M)291.60302.81314.34
Year 5 PV (M)295.27309.53324.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,940.859,372.709,821.08
Equity Value (M)10,379.5210,853.1611,344.41
Shares Outstanding (M)132.58132.58132.58
Fair Value$78.29$81.86$85.57
Upside / Downside170.90%183.27%196.09%

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