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Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd.

ID: 600809.SS SECTOR: Consumer Defensive INDUSTRY: Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
141.95
-0.43 (-0.30%)
Ref: 2026-04-24

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $374.16 - $979.50 $560.86
Multi-Stage DDM $147.68 - $161.42 $154.42
Blended Fair Value $357.64
Stock Price$138.88

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 4.3853.3081.8020.1430.6490.5210.4630.4180.2520.001
YoY % 32.55%83.58%1,158.35%-77.94%24.49%12.70%10.59%66.20%22,888.58%-99.56%
Yield 3.16%2.38%1.30%0.10%0.47%0.38%0.33%0.30%0.18%0.00%

CAGRValue
5 Year53.09%
10 Year33.16%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $374.16 - $979.50 $560.86

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 1,791.62 1,791.62 1,791.62
(=) Cash Required 358.32 223.95 134.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share 8.03 8.78 9.28
LTM Dividend per Share 4.385 4.385 4.385
(=) Adjusted Dividend 12.413 13.166 13.667

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 1,791.62 1,908.082,032.102,164.192,304.862,454.68
Projected Dividends 782.80 477.02833.161,233.591,682.552,209.21

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 452.61 456.90 461.19
Year 2 PV 718.45 732.13 745.95
Year 3 PV 966.75 994.50 1,022.78
Year 4 PV 1,198.36 1,244.44 1,291.85
Year 5 PV 1,429.99 1,499.06 1,570.77
TV PV 21,598.80 22,642.03 23,725.19
Equity Value 26,364.95 27,569.06 28,817.72
Fair Value $147.68 $154.42 $161.42

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