Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wärtsilä Oyj Abp (WRT1V.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.93 - $25.81$18.80
Multi-Stage$22.36 - $24.56$23.44
Blended Fair Value$21.12
Current Price$20.04
Upside5.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.34%-0.84%0.330.260.240.200.480.480.460.450.420.41
YoY Growth--26.80%6.99%20.17%-58.25%0.35%3.65%3.79%5.60%3.31%14.69%
Dividend Yield--2.00%1.82%2.78%2.42%5.39%7.17%3.14%2.48%2.52%3.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)561.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)227.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)334.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.2070.1342.08
Cash Retained (M)334.00334.00334.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.20-70.13-42.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)221.80263.88291.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)592.41592.41592.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.450.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.450.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.830.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate1.04%2.04%3.04%
Fair Value$13.93$18.80$25.81
Upside / Downside-30.51%-6.18%28.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)561.00572.46584.15596.08608.25620.67639.29
Payout Ratio40.46%50.37%60.28%70.19%80.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)227.00288.35352.11418.36487.17558.61591.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate1.04%2.04%3.04%
Year 1 PV (M)268.00270.65273.30
Year 2 PV (M)304.16310.21316.32
Year 3 PV (M)335.88345.96356.23
Year 4 PV (M)363.52378.13393.17
Year 5 PV (M)387.41406.96427.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,587.2212,172.0712,780.30
Equity Value (M)13,246.2013,883.9814,546.62
Shares Outstanding (M)592.41592.41592.41
Fair Value$22.36$23.44$24.56
Upside / Downside11.58%16.95%22.53%

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