Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

SATS Ltd. (S58.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.87 - $33.71$25.79
Multi-Stage$4.17 - $4.56$4.36
Blended Fair Value$15.08
Current Price$3.39
Upside344.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-26.78%-11.14%0.030.000.000.000.000.140.130.120.120.10
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%5.73%5.61%6.76%14.64%6.79%
Dividend Yield--0.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.15%2.64%2.63%2.42%2.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)258.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)74.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)184.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.7832.3619.42
Cash Retained (M)184.30184.30184.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.78-32.36-19.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)132.52151.94164.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,527.441,527.441,527.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8.87$25.79$33.71
Upside / Downside161.72%660.82%894.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)258.90275.73293.65312.74333.07354.72365.36
Payout Ratio28.81%41.05%53.29%65.53%77.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)74.60113.19156.48204.92259.00319.24337.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)104.68105.67106.67
Year 2 PV (M)133.84136.39138.96
Year 3 PV (M)162.10166.75171.49
Year 4 PV (M)189.48196.76204.26
Year 5 PV (M)215.99226.42237.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,560.045,828.596,107.42
Equity Value (M)6,366.136,660.606,966.06
Shares Outstanding (M)1,527.441,527.441,527.44
Fair Value$4.17$4.36$4.56
Upside / Downside22.95%28.63%34.53%

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