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Korvest Ltd (KOV.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$160.79 - $408.43$382.76
Multi-Stage$59.75 - $65.34$62.50
Blended Fair Value$222.63
Current Price$11.02
Upside1,920.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS19.38%4.26%0.650.590.590.440.270.270.150.080.170.12
YoY Growth--9.09%0.89%34.65%62.57%0.64%76.22%101.01%-55.44%41.99%-72.08%
Dividend Yield--5.88%6.71%7.60%6.24%5.39%6.68%5.81%3.64%7.17%5.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.843.031.82
Cash Retained (M)9.579.579.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.84-3.03-1.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.736.547.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.7811.7811.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.560.66
LTM Dividend per Share1.241.241.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.560.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.641.801.90
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$160.79$382.76$408.43
Upside / Downside1,359.09%3,373.32%3,606.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24.2025.7727.4529.2331.1333.1634.15
Payout Ratio60.47%66.37%72.28%78.19%84.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.6317.1119.8422.8626.1829.8431.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)15.9016.0516.20
Year 2 PV (M)17.1417.4717.80
Year 3 PV (M)18.3518.8819.42
Year 4 PV (M)19.5420.2921.06
Year 5 PV (M)20.7021.7022.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)612.49642.07672.79
Equity Value (M)704.12736.46770.01
Shares Outstanding (M)11.7811.7811.78
Fair Value$59.75$62.50$65.34
Upside / Downside442.22%467.12%492.95%

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