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Installux S.A. (ALLUX.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: AluminumSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$671.67 - $1,156.57$880.74
Multi-Stage$1,234.94 - $1,358.06$1,295.31
Blended Fair Value$1,088.02
Current Price$348.00
Upside212.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.34%-0.82%7.897.917.967.970.006.707.518.588.588.58
YoY Growth---0.22%-0.62%-0.13%0.00%-100.00%-10.78%-12.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.27%2.85%2.21%1.97%0.00%1.91%2.41%2.07%2.35%3.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.021.881.13
Cash Retained (M)10.6010.6010.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.02-1.88-1.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.588.719.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.280.280.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share26.7830.7733.44
LTM Dividend per Share15.8215.8215.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share26.7830.7733.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend42.6046.6049.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate0.07%1.07%2.07%
Fair Value$671.67$880.74$1,156.57
Upside / Downside93.01%153.09%232.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.0815.2415.4015.5715.7315.9016.38
Payout Ratio29.71%41.77%53.83%65.89%77.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.486.378.2910.2612.2614.3115.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate0.07%1.07%2.07%
Year 1 PV (M)5.925.986.04
Year 2 PV (M)7.187.327.47
Year 3 PV (M)8.268.518.77
Year 4 PV (M)9.199.569.95
Year 5 PV (M)9.9810.4911.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)309.10324.85341.24
Equity Value (M)349.62366.71384.48
Shares Outstanding (M)0.280.280.28
Fair Value$1,234.94$1,295.31$1,358.06
Upside / Downside254.87%272.21%290.25%

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