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CCK Consolidated Holdings Berhad (7035.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.59 - $22.07$20.68
Multi-Stage$3.54 - $3.87$3.70
Blended Fair Value$12.19
Current Price$1.29
Upside844.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS27.43%0.00%0.040.040.010.020.020.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--21.34%178.62%-37.72%14.29%39.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.15%3.44%1.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.768.605.16
Cash Retained (M)16.1016.1016.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.76-8.60-5.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.337.4910.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)620.25620.25620.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11.59$20.68$22.07
Upside / Downside798.81%1,503.01%1,610.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.8273.2978.0683.1388.5394.2997.12
Payout Ratio76.61%79.29%81.97%84.64%87.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.7258.1163.9870.3677.3184.8689.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)54.1554.6655.18
Year 2 PV (M)55.5556.6157.68
Year 3 PV (M)56.9358.5760.23
Year 4 PV (M)58.2960.5362.84
Year 5 PV (M)59.6262.5065.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,908.132,000.292,095.98
Equity Value (M)2,192.682,293.172,397.40
Shares Outstanding (M)620.25620.25620.25
Fair Value$3.54$3.70$3.87
Upside / Downside174.04%186.60%199.63%

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