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Topco Scientific Co.,Ltd. (5434.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$826.87 - $3,955.39$1,799.26
Multi-Stage$452.99 - $494.85$473.54
Blended Fair Value$1,136.40
Current Price$314.00
Upside261.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.40%12.97%9.679.318.197.456.054.943.914.253.252.99
YoY Growth--3.85%13.64%10.00%23.08%22.64%26.19%-8.00%30.77%8.57%4.83%
Dividend Yield--3.71%4.15%4.37%4.41%4.47%5.49%4.94%5.08%3.33%5.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,880.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,293.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,587.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)776.19485.12291.07
Cash Retained (M)1,587.591,587.591,587.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-776.19-485.12-291.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)811.411,102.481,296.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)195.13195.13195.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.165.656.64
LTM Dividend per Share11.7511.7511.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.165.656.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.9117.4018.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$826.87$1,799.26$3,955.39
Upside / Downside163.33%473.01%1,159.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,880.954,133.214,401.864,687.994,992.715,317.235,476.75
Payout Ratio59.09%65.27%71.46%77.64%83.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,293.352,697.913,145.383,639.614,184.814,785.515,065.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,485.432,508.982,532.54
Year 2 PV (M)2,669.432,720.272,771.60
Year 3 PV (M)2,845.602,927.293,010.52
Year 4 PV (M)3,014.173,130.083,249.31
Year 5 PV (M)3,175.363,328.733,487.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)74,203.1577,787.1981,508.40
Equity Value (M)88,393.1292,402.5496,560.34
Shares Outstanding (M)195.13195.13195.13
Fair Value$452.99$473.54$494.85
Upside / Downside44.26%50.81%57.59%

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