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AME Elite Consortium Berhad (5293.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.60 - $2.47$2.01
Multi-Stage$3.63 - $4.00$3.81
Blended Fair Value$2.91
Current Price$1.55
Upside87.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.050.040.030.020.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--40.00%42.50%31.25%33.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.52%3.07%2.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)109.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.9513.728.23
Cash Retained (M)65.0265.0265.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.95-13.72-8.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.0751.3056.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)639.09639.09639.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.60$2.01$2.47
Upside / Downside3.17%29.36%59.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)109.75108.66107.57106.49105.43104.37107.51
Payout Ratio40.76%50.61%60.46%70.30%80.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.7454.9965.0374.8784.5093.9499.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)51.1551.6752.19
Year 2 PV (M)56.2757.4258.59
Year 3 PV (M)60.2662.1264.02
Year 4 PV (M)63.2665.8968.59
Year 5 PV (M)65.4268.8272.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,025.282,130.742,240.55
Equity Value (M)2,321.642,436.672,556.32
Shares Outstanding (M)639.09639.09639.09
Fair Value$3.63$3.81$4.00
Upside / Downside134.37%145.98%158.06%

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