Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Doright Co.,Ltd. (300950.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.20 - $93.58$87.69
Multi-Stage$13.69 - $14.98$14.32
Blended Fair Value$51.01
Current Price$32.02
Upside59.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.73%10.86%0.150.100.070.070.300.300.150.020.100.02
YoY Growth--49.13%46.56%5.30%-77.89%-0.54%96.63%662.88%-79.62%495.98%-69.61%
Dividend Yield--0.88%0.74%0.36%0.35%0.88%0.74%0.38%0.00%0.24%0.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.168.855.31
Cash Retained (M)39.6039.6039.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.16-8.85-5.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.4430.7534.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)150.48150.48150.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.200.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.200.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.410.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$38.20$87.69$93.58
Upside / Downside19.30%173.87%192.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.8075.4180.3185.5391.0997.0199.92
Payout Ratio44.07%53.26%62.44%71.63%80.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.2140.1650.1561.2673.6187.3192.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)37.3437.7038.05
Year 2 PV (M)43.3544.1845.01
Year 3 PV (M)49.2550.6652.10
Year 4 PV (M)55.0257.1459.31
Year 5 PV (M)60.6863.6166.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,814.661,902.301,993.31
Equity Value (M)2,060.292,155.582,254.43
Shares Outstanding (M)150.48150.48150.48
Fair Value$13.69$14.32$14.98
Upside / Downside-57.24%-55.26%-53.21%

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