Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (0HJO.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - GeneralSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$109.70 - $191.84$144.74
Multi-Stage$126.05 - $137.49$131.67
Blended Fair Value$138.20
Current Price$193.17
Upside-28.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.76%4.94%6.736.456.226.216.185.875.635.405.084.58
YoY Growth--4.25%3.72%0.14%0.58%5.19%4.27%4.22%6.32%10.91%10.38%
Dividend Yield--3.13%3.56%3.70%2.50%3.35%3.99%2.81%3.29%2.77%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,168.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)984.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)184.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)233.73146.0887.65
Cash Retained (M)184.00184.00184.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-233.73-146.08-87.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-49.7337.9296.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)143.00143.00143.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.350.270.67
LTM Dividend per Share6.896.896.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.350.270.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.547.157.56
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Fair Value$109.70$144.74$191.84
Upside / Downside-43.21%-25.07%-0.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,168.661,214.761,262.681,312.491,364.271,418.091,460.63
Payout Ratio84.26%85.40%86.55%87.70%88.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)984.661,037.461,092.891,151.081,212.171,276.281,351.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)941.95951.10960.25
Year 2 PV (M)900.93918.52936.27
Year 3 PV (M)861.54886.89912.74
Year 4 PV (M)823.74856.21889.64
Year 5 PV (M)787.46826.46866.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,710.7414,389.7315,095.36
Equity Value (M)18,026.3518,828.9019,661.24
Shares Outstanding (M)143.00143.00143.00
Fair Value$126.05$131.67$137.49
Upside / Downside-34.74%-31.84%-28.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 7 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
PLYMPlymouth Industrial REIT, Inc.4.80%$1.0549.94%
SAFTSafety Insurance Group, Inc.4.80%$3.6361.47%
CETCentral Securities Corp.4.79%$2.4313.87%
GBLIGlobal Indemnity Group, LLC4.79%$1.3870.11%
JANIXJanus Henderson Triton Fund Class D4.79%$1.2767.95%
MITNAG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. 9.500% Senior Notes due 20294.77%$1.2175.90%
PRUPrudential Financial, Inc.4.77%$5.4373.37%
IFAFXThe Income Fund of America, Class F-1 Shares4.76%$1.2433.91%
AMECXAmerican Funds The Income Fund of America Class A4.74%$1.2433.91%
UMPQUmpqua Holdings Corporation4.74%$0.8454.13%
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp, Inc.4.73%$0.5454.01%
SBSISouthside Bancshares, Inc.4.72%$1.4462.24%
TNLTravel + Leisure Co.4.72%$3.4054.99%
AIRCApartment Income REIT Corp.4.68%$1.8341.27%
SONSonoco Products Company4.68%$2.0832.95%
OFLXOmega Flex, Inc.4.67%$1.3685.30%
FTAIOFTAI Aviation Ltd.4.65%$1.1825.22%
WDWalker & Dunlop, Inc.4.65%$2.7379.29%
0J2Z.LHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.4.63%$1.4766.70%
FLMNFalcon Minerals Corporation4.63%$0.3681.83%
GSRMGSR II Meteora Acquisition Corp.4.62%$0.1532.94%
FBFWXAmerican Funds Retirement Income Portfolio - Moderate Class F-14.61%$0.6379.77%
GPSThe Gap, Inc.4.61%$0.9341.48%
QUADQuad/Graphics, Inc.4.61%$0.2764.56%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company4.59%$2.4582.81%
WTBAWest Bancorporation, Inc.4.56%$0.9952.39%
SCPLSciPlay Corporation4.55%$1.0417.40%
OLPOne Liberty Properties, Inc.4.53%$0.9257.61%
RWAYLRunway Growth Finance Corp. - 74.53%$1.1475.51%
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc.4.52%$2.1248.43%
RWAYZRunway Growth Finance Corp. 8.00% Notes due 20274.52%$1.1475.51%
DDominion Energy, Inc.4.48%$2.6597.13%
TGTTarget Corporation4.48%$4.5054.48%
COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc.4.47%$1.2662.95%
DFPAXBNY Mellon Diversified International Fund Class A4.46%$0.4556.12%
KEYKeyCorp4.46%$0.9495.81%
RPTIXT. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund4.46%$4.3859.54%
CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending, Inc.4.45%$0.5655.08%
NEWTPNewtekOne, Inc. Depositary Shares, Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series B4.44%$1.0244.14%
PFCPremier Financial Corp.4.43%$1.2468.07%
BFCBank First Corporation4.40%$5.3073.82%
DUKDuke Energy Corporation4.40%$5.1780.55%
0L77.LSkyworks Solutions, Inc.4.37%$2.7990.67%
ESCAEscalade, Incorporated4.35%$0.6065.28%
DINOHF Sinclair Corporation4.34%$2.0396.43%
LBAILakeland Bancorp, Inc.4.34%$0.5844.96%
CVXChevron Corporation4.32%$6.7495.36%
CVBFCVB Financial Corp.4.31%$0.8154.32%
HTBKHeritage Commerce Corp4.30%$0.5273.66%
EQREquity Residential4.28%$2.6689.76%