Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry Ltd. ,company (002538.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.35 - $51.66$48.41
Multi-Stage$8.38 - $9.17$8.77
Blended Fair Value$28.59
Current Price$5.27
Upside442.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.57%10.22%0.240.270.380.200.070.090.180.120.130.10
YoY Growth---10.03%-29.41%92.28%180.89%-25.71%-48.41%46.94%-4.56%33.16%7.75%
Dividend Yield--3.99%5.28%4.78%2.26%1.25%1.89%2.95%1.54%1.26%0.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)222.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)127.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.4427.7816.67
Cash Retained (M)94.3294.3294.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.44-27.78-16.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)49.8866.5577.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)853.57853.57853.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.26%6.26%7.26%
Fair Value$23.35$48.41$51.66
Upside / Downside343.04%818.60%880.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)222.20236.12250.91266.63283.34301.09310.12
Payout Ratio57.55%64.04%70.53%77.02%83.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)127.88151.22176.97205.36236.62270.98286.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.26%6.26%7.26%
Year 1 PV (M)141.04142.38143.72
Year 2 PV (M)153.96156.90159.87
Year 3 PV (M)166.64171.44176.32
Year 4 PV (M)179.09185.99193.09
Year 5 PV (M)191.30200.56210.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,321.506,627.536,945.29
Equity Value (M)7,153.537,484.807,828.47
Shares Outstanding (M)853.57853.57853.57
Fair Value$8.38$8.77$9.17
Upside / Downside59.03%66.39%74.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 7 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
PLYMPlymouth Industrial REIT, Inc.4.80%$1.0549.94%
SAFTSafety Insurance Group, Inc.4.80%$3.6361.47%
CETCentral Securities Corp.4.79%$2.4313.87%
GBLIGlobal Indemnity Group, LLC4.79%$1.3870.11%
JANIXJanus Henderson Triton Fund Class D4.79%$1.2767.95%
MITNAG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. 9.500% Senior Notes due 20294.77%$1.2175.90%
PRUPrudential Financial, Inc.4.77%$5.4373.37%
IFAFXThe Income Fund of America, Class F-1 Shares4.76%$1.2433.91%
AMECXAmerican Funds The Income Fund of America Class A4.74%$1.2433.91%
UMPQUmpqua Holdings Corporation4.74%$0.8454.13%
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp, Inc.4.73%$0.5454.01%
SBSISouthside Bancshares, Inc.4.72%$1.4462.24%
TNLTravel + Leisure Co.4.72%$3.4054.99%
AIRCApartment Income REIT Corp.4.68%$1.8341.27%
SONSonoco Products Company4.68%$2.0832.95%
OFLXOmega Flex, Inc.4.67%$1.3685.30%
FTAIOFTAI Aviation Ltd.4.65%$1.1825.22%
WDWalker & Dunlop, Inc.4.65%$2.7379.29%
0J2Z.LHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.4.63%$1.4766.70%
FLMNFalcon Minerals Corporation4.63%$0.3681.83%
GSRMGSR II Meteora Acquisition Corp.4.62%$0.1532.94%
FBFWXAmerican Funds Retirement Income Portfolio - Moderate Class F-14.61%$0.6379.77%
GPSThe Gap, Inc.4.61%$0.9341.48%
QUADQuad/Graphics, Inc.4.61%$0.2764.56%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company4.59%$2.4582.81%
WTBAWest Bancorporation, Inc.4.56%$0.9952.39%
SCPLSciPlay Corporation4.55%$1.0417.40%
OLPOne Liberty Properties, Inc.4.53%$0.9257.61%
RWAYLRunway Growth Finance Corp. - 74.53%$1.1475.51%
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc.4.52%$2.1248.43%
RWAYZRunway Growth Finance Corp. 8.00% Notes due 20274.52%$1.1475.51%
DDominion Energy, Inc.4.48%$2.6597.13%
TGTTarget Corporation4.48%$4.5054.48%
COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc.4.47%$1.2662.95%
DFPAXBNY Mellon Diversified International Fund Class A4.46%$0.4556.12%
KEYKeyCorp4.46%$0.9495.81%
RPTIXT. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund4.46%$4.3859.54%
CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending, Inc.4.45%$0.5655.08%
NEWTPNewtekOne, Inc. Depositary Shares, Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series B4.44%$1.0244.14%
PFCPremier Financial Corp.4.43%$1.2468.07%
BFCBank First Corporation4.40%$5.3073.82%
DUKDuke Energy Corporation4.40%$5.1780.55%
0L77.LSkyworks Solutions, Inc.4.37%$2.7990.67%
ESCAEscalade, Incorporated4.35%$0.6065.28%
DINOHF Sinclair Corporation4.34%$2.0396.43%
LBAILakeland Bancorp, Inc.4.34%$0.5844.96%
CVXChevron Corporation4.32%$6.7495.36%
CVBFCVB Financial Corp.4.31%$0.8154.32%
HTBKHeritage Commerce Corp4.30%$0.5273.66%
EQREquity Residential4.28%$2.6689.76%