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Haugesund Sparebank (HGSB.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,672.43 - $12,155.18$6,123.23
Multi-Stage$1,508.74 - $1,651.78$1,578.94
Blended Fair Value$3,851.09
Current Price$160.50
Upside2,299.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS17.82%0.00%6.154.874.874,498.562.622.710.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--26.15%0.00%-99.89%171,328.57%-3.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.51%3.21%3.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)184.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)137.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.8223.0113.81
Cash Retained (M)137.53137.53137.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.82-23.01-13.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)100.71114.51123.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.003.003.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share33.5638.1641.23
LTM Dividend per Share15.5215.5215.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share33.5638.1641.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend49.0853.6856.75
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.10%6.10%7.10%
Fair Value$2,672.43$6,123.23$12,155.18
Upside / Downside1,565.07%3,715.10%7,473.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)184.10195.33207.25219.89233.31247.54254.97
Payout Ratio25.30%38.24%51.18%64.12%77.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.5874.69106.07141.00179.79222.79235.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.10%6.10%7.10%
Year 1 PV (M)69.1369.7970.44
Year 2 PV (M)90.8592.5994.34
Year 3 PV (M)111.77114.99118.28
Year 4 PV (M)131.91137.00142.24
Year 5 PV (M)151.28158.62166.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,972.734,165.364,365.39
Equity Value (M)4,527.684,738.354,956.92
Shares Outstanding (M)3.003.003.00
Fair Value$1,508.74$1,578.94$1,651.78
Upside / Downside840.03%883.77%929.15%

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