Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker / Industry / Sector

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$79.20 - $231.62$217.06
Multi-Stage$31.46 - $34.44$32.92
Blended Fair Value$124.99
Current Price$7.89
Upside1,484.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.65%0.10%0.240.190.150.000.050.110.100.000.000.06
YoY Growth--26.32%26.70%150,314.29%-99.79%-54.43%7.11%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-75.00%
Dividend Yield--2.98%1.70%1.94%0.00%0.97%3.24%1.40%0.00%0.00%1.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)245.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)194.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.0730.6718.40
Cash Retained (M)194.79194.79194.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.07-30.67-18.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)145.72164.12176.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)210.66210.66210.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.690.780.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.690.780.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.931.021.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$79.20$217.06$231.62
Upside / Downside903.81%2,651.11%2,835.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)245.35261.30278.28296.37315.63336.15346.24
Payout Ratio20.61%34.49%48.36%62.24%76.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.5690.11134.59184.47240.27302.54320.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)83.6384.4285.21
Year 2 PV (M)115.92118.13120.36
Year 3 PV (M)147.45151.68155.99
Year 4 PV (M)178.23185.08192.13
Year 5 PV (M)208.27218.33228.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,893.426,178.076,473.62
Equity Value (M)6,626.916,935.717,256.09
Shares Outstanding (M)210.66210.66210.66
Fair Value$31.46$32.92$34.44
Upside / Downside298.70%317.28%336.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 7 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
PLYMPlymouth Industrial REIT, Inc.4.80%$1.0549.94%
SAFTSafety Insurance Group, Inc.4.80%$3.6361.47%
CETCentral Securities Corp.4.79%$2.4313.87%
GBLIGlobal Indemnity Group, LLC4.79%$1.3870.11%
JANIXJanus Henderson Triton Fund Class D4.79%$1.2767.95%
MITNAG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. 9.500% Senior Notes due 20294.77%$1.2175.90%
PRUPrudential Financial, Inc.4.77%$5.4373.37%
IFAFXThe Income Fund of America, Class F-1 Shares4.76%$1.2433.91%
AMECXAmerican Funds The Income Fund of America Class A4.74%$1.2433.91%
UMPQUmpqua Holdings Corporation4.74%$0.8454.13%
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp, Inc.4.73%$0.5454.01%
SBSISouthside Bancshares, Inc.4.72%$1.4462.24%
TNLTravel + Leisure Co.4.72%$3.4054.99%
AIRCApartment Income REIT Corp.4.68%$1.8341.27%
SONSonoco Products Company4.68%$2.0832.95%
OFLXOmega Flex, Inc.4.67%$1.3685.30%
FTAIOFTAI Aviation Ltd.4.65%$1.1825.22%
WDWalker & Dunlop, Inc.4.65%$2.7379.29%
0J2Z.LHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.4.63%$1.4766.70%
FLMNFalcon Minerals Corporation4.63%$0.3681.83%
GSRMGSR II Meteora Acquisition Corp.4.62%$0.1532.94%
FBFWXAmerican Funds Retirement Income Portfolio - Moderate Class F-14.61%$0.6379.77%
GPSThe Gap, Inc.4.61%$0.9341.48%
QUADQuad/Graphics, Inc.4.61%$0.2764.56%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Company4.59%$2.4582.81%
WTBAWest Bancorporation, Inc.4.56%$0.9952.39%
SCPLSciPlay Corporation4.55%$1.0417.40%
OLPOne Liberty Properties, Inc.4.53%$0.9257.61%
RWAYLRunway Growth Finance Corp. - 74.53%$1.1475.51%
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc.4.52%$2.1248.43%
RWAYZRunway Growth Finance Corp. 8.00% Notes due 20274.52%$1.1475.51%
DDominion Energy, Inc.4.48%$2.6597.13%
TGTTarget Corporation4.48%$4.5054.48%
COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc.4.47%$1.2662.95%
DFPAXBNY Mellon Diversified International Fund Class A4.46%$0.4556.12%
KEYKeyCorp4.46%$0.9495.81%
RPTIXT. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund4.46%$4.3859.54%
CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending, Inc.4.45%$0.5655.08%
NEWTPNewtekOne, Inc. Depositary Shares, Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series B4.44%$1.0244.14%
PFCPremier Financial Corp.4.43%$1.2468.07%
BFCBank First Corporation4.40%$5.3073.82%
DUKDuke Energy Corporation4.40%$5.1780.55%
0L77.LSkyworks Solutions, Inc.4.37%$2.7990.67%
ESCAEscalade, Incorporated4.35%$0.6065.28%
DINOHF Sinclair Corporation4.34%$2.0396.43%
LBAILakeland Bancorp, Inc.4.34%$0.5844.96%
CVXChevron Corporation4.32%$6.7495.36%
CVBFCVB Financial Corp.4.31%$0.8154.32%
HTBKHeritage Commerce Corp4.30%$0.5273.66%
EQREquity Residential4.28%$2.6689.76%