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Guerbet S.A. (0ELV.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Equipment & ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.25 - $44.76$36.49
Multi-Stage$57.92 - $63.73$60.77
Blended Fair Value$48.63
Current Price$22.25
Upside118.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.97%0.33%0.510.510.860.710.710.850.860.860.640.49
YoY Growth---0.08%-41.21%21.77%-0.12%-17.21%-0.41%-0.39%34.14%31.44%-0.10%
Dividend Yield--1.88%2.59%5.09%1.89%2.13%2.04%1.62%1.06%0.91%0.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.105.063.04
Cash Retained (M)27.8927.8927.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.10-5.06-3.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.7922.8224.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.4712.4712.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.591.831.99
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.591.831.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.602.843.00
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate-1.67%-0.67%0.33%
Fair Value$29.25$36.49$44.76
Upside / Downside31.45%64.02%101.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.5040.2339.9639.6939.4339.1640.34
Payout Ratio31.15%42.92%54.69%66.46%78.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.6217.2721.8526.3830.8435.2537.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate-1.67%-0.67%0.33%
Year 1 PV (M)15.9616.1316.29
Year 2 PV (M)18.6819.0719.45
Year 3 PV (M)20.8521.5022.15
Year 4 PV (M)22.5423.4724.43
Year 5 PV (M)23.8225.0626.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)620.60652.80686.33
Equity Value (M)722.46758.02795.00
Shares Outstanding (M)12.4712.4712.47
Fair Value$57.92$60.77$63.73
Upside / Downside160.29%173.10%186.43%

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