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Groupe CRIT S.A. (0DZJ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$262.38 - $646.52$392.01
Multi-Stage$320.93 - $352.08$336.21
Blended Fair Value$364.11
Current Price$71.80
Upside407.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.06%4.60%0.973.611.050.520.011.084.490.430.570.47
YoY Growth---73.09%244.17%101.85%10,030.36%-99.52%-76.00%954.67%-25.16%21.47%-24.41%
Dividend Yield--1.59%4.59%1.72%0.84%0.01%1.46%8.47%0.58%0.84%0.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)133.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.7816.7410.04
Cash Retained (M)83.8683.8683.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.78-16.74-10.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)57.0867.1273.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.9210.9210.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.226.146.76
LTM Dividend per Share4.584.584.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.226.146.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.8110.7211.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Fair Value$262.38$392.01$646.52
Upside / Downside265.42%445.97%800.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)133.90138.71143.70148.86154.22159.76164.55
Payout Ratio37.37%47.90%58.42%68.95%79.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.0466.4483.95102.64122.56143.78152.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Year 1 PV (M)61.8262.4363.03
Year 2 PV (M)72.6974.1275.55
Year 3 PV (M)82.7085.1487.63
Year 4 PV (M)91.8995.5299.27
Year 5 PV (M)100.31105.29110.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,096.473,250.343,410.28
Equity Value (M)3,505.883,672.853,846.24
Shares Outstanding (M)10.9210.9210.92
Fair Value$320.93$336.21$352.08
Upside / Downside346.97%368.26%390.37%

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