Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TruckingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$116.31 - $308.53$177.85
Multi-Stage$79.40 - $86.76$83.01
Blended Fair Value$130.43
Current Price$140.78
Upside-7.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.60%0.00%1.050.820.630.430.330.260.200.150.000.00
YoY Growth--27.72%30.19%45.60%30.05%30.19%28.16%29.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.63%0.38%0.37%0.29%0.28%0.39%0.40%0.32%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,057.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)232.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)824.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)211.48132.1779.30
Cash Retained (M)824.76824.76824.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-211.48-132.17-79.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)613.28692.58745.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)213.26213.26213.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.883.253.50
LTM Dividend per Share1.091.091.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.883.253.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.974.344.59
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$116.31$177.85$308.53
Upside / Downside-17.38%26.33%119.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,057.381,126.111,199.301,277.261,360.281,448.701,492.16
Payout Ratio22.00%35.60%49.20%62.80%76.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)232.62400.89590.06802.121,039.251,303.831,380.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)364.01367.46370.91
Year 2 PV (M)486.48495.75505.10
Year 3 PV (M)600.48617.71635.28
Year 4 PV (M)706.42733.59761.53
Year 5 PV (M)804.73843.60883.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,970.1114,644.8715,345.46
Equity Value (M)16,932.2317,702.9818,502.24
Shares Outstanding (M)213.26213.26213.26
Fair Value$79.40$83.01$86.76
Upside / Downside-43.60%-41.03%-38.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 5 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
U11.SIUnited Overseas Bank Limited11.62%$4.1058.46%
9543.SRSaudi Networkers Services Company11.60%$8.7072.96%
0688.HKChina Overseas Land & Investment Limited11.57%$1.4538.43%
0QKP.LPhoenix Mecano AG11.55%$51.5065.02%
601668.SSChina State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited11.55%$0.5954.79%
5983.KLMBM Resources Bhd11.49%$0.6069.77%
601800.SSChina Communications Construction Company Limited11.48%$0.9576.83%
0440.HKDah Sing Financial Holdings Limited11.45%$4.0834.85%
H02.SIHaw Par Corporation Limited11.39%$1.8082.18%
EDV.AXEndeavour Group Limited11.35%$0.4279.74%
102260.KSDongsung Chemical Co., Ltd.11.33%$470.0161.08%
092230.KSKPX Holdings Co.,Ltd.11.32%$8,125.9434.75%
9909.HKPowerlong Commercial Management Holdings Limited11.28%$0.2829.74%
SVR.AXSolvar Limited11.25%$0.2083.01%
HOLCO.ASHolland Colours N.V.11.23%$9.8877.82%
RBN-UN.TOBlue Ribbon Income Fund11.23%$0.9343.10%
0066.HKMTR Corporation Limited11.22%$3.3977.76%
3360.HKFar East Horizon Limited11.17%$0.8944.98%
0934.HKSinopec Kantons Holdings Limited11.16%$0.4758.03%
317400.KSXi S&D Inc.11.16%$481.1664.89%
0146.HKTai Ping Carpets International Limited11.12%$0.2151.92%
096760.KSJW Holdings Corporation11.12%$390.8363.07%
3868.HKXinyi Energy Holdings Limited11.12%$0.1360.32%
BMW3.DEBayerische Motoren Werke AG11.11%$10.5291.60%
1109.HKChina Resources Land Limited11.09%$3.0736.44%
2380.HKChina Power International Development Limited11.08%$0.3656.67%
3900.HKGreentown China Holdings Limited11.07%$0.9398.98%
600016.SSChina Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd.11.06%$0.4261.11%
BFG.AXBell Financial Group Limited11.06%$0.1590.20%
1571.HKXin Point Holdings Limited11.03%$0.4241.05%
601577.SSBank of Changsha Co., Ltd.11.03%$1.0752.50%
IMMOU.BRImmo Moury SCA11.02%$3.5993.20%
2555.HKSichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial Co., Ltd.11.00%$0.7076.19%
POMO3.SAMarcopolo S.A.10.98%$0.6158.30%
IEL.AXIDP Education Limited10.96%$0.6398.92%
1579.HKYihai International Holding Ltd.10.95%$1.4288.97%
SPTO.JKPT Surya Pertiwi Tbk10.93%$70.5268.08%
TOTG.OLTotens Sparebank10.91%$31.6287.19%
1052.HKYuexiu Transport Infrastructure Limited10.89%$0.5162.60%
601919.SSCOSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd.10.89%$1.6567.32%
DETEC.HEDetection Technology Oyj10.89%$1.2399.18%
018500.KSDongwon Metal Co., Ltd.10.86%$150.3024.83%
3799.HKDali Foods Group Company Limited10.86%$0.4172.83%
EBRO.MCEbro Foods, S.A.10.86%$2.0177.79%
023590.KSDaou Technology Inc.10.85%$4,297.7041.75%
0392.HKBeijing Enterprises Holdings Limited10.84%$3.4643.30%
NOVC.DENovo Nordisk A/S10.83%$9.9046.60%
0408.HKYip's Chemical Holdings Limited10.81%$0.2048.65%
4342.SRJadwa Investment - Jadwa Reit Saudi Fund10.80%$1.2085.91%
RIAS-B.CORIAS A/S10.79%$73.9373.44%