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China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd.

ID: 600016.SS SECTOR: Financial Services INDUSTRY: Banks - Regional
3.70
-0.02 (-0.54%)
Ref: 2026-04-13
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $8.43 - $10.70 $9.54
Multi-Stage DDM $6.48 - $7.15 $6.81
Blended Fair Value $8.18
Stock Price$3.84

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 0.7010.7350.5450.2450.6830.6510.5250.5270.4270.238
YoY % -4.59%34.79%122.30%-64.09%4.90%24.05%-0.35%23.41%78.93%58.05%
Yield 18.26%19.13%14.20%6.39%17.78%16.95%13.67%13.71%11.11%6.21%

CAGRValue
5 Year1.49%
10 Year16.60%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth -5.48% to -3.48% -4.48%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $8.43 - $10.70 $9.54

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 4,423.26 4,423.26 4,423.26
(=) Cash Required 884.65 552.91 331.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.59 0.65 0.68
LTM Dividend per Share 0.701 0.701 0.701
(=) Adjusted Dividend 1.291 1.346 1.383

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 4,423.26 4,225.194,035.993,855.273,682.633,517.73
Projected Dividends 4,203.58 1,056.301,654.762,197.502,688.323,165.96

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 1,001.16 1,011.75 1,022.34
Year 2 PV 1,423.81 1,454.10 1,484.71
Year 3 PV 1,716.53 1,771.59 1,827.81
Year 4 PV 1,906.37 1,988.33 2,072.91
Year 5 PV 2,038.14 2,148.25 2,263.08
TV PV 30,784.38 32,447.62 34,181.99
Equity Value 38,870.38 40,821.65 42,852.84
Fair Value $6.48 $6.81 $7.15

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NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
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