Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TruckingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$116.31 - $308.53$177.85
Multi-Stage$79.40 - $86.76$83.01
Blended Fair Value$130.43
Current Price$140.78
Upside-7.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.60%0.00%1.050.820.630.430.330.260.200.150.000.00
YoY Growth--27.72%30.19%45.60%30.05%30.19%28.16%29.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.63%0.38%0.37%0.29%0.28%0.39%0.40%0.32%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,057.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)232.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)824.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)211.48132.1779.30
Cash Retained (M)824.76824.76824.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-211.48-132.17-79.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)613.28692.58745.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)213.26213.26213.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.883.253.50
LTM Dividend per Share1.091.091.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.883.253.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.974.344.59
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$116.31$177.85$308.53
Upside / Downside-17.38%26.33%119.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,057.381,126.111,199.301,277.261,360.281,448.701,492.16
Payout Ratio22.00%35.60%49.20%62.80%76.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)232.62400.89590.06802.121,039.251,303.831,380.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)364.01367.46370.91
Year 2 PV (M)486.48495.75505.10
Year 3 PV (M)600.48617.71635.28
Year 4 PV (M)706.42733.59761.53
Year 5 PV (M)804.73843.60883.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,970.1114,644.8715,345.46
Equity Value (M)16,932.2317,702.9818,502.24
Shares Outstanding (M)213.26213.26213.26
Fair Value$79.40$83.01$86.76
Upside / Downside-43.60%-41.03%-38.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

Page 1 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ATOM3.SAAtom Empreendimentos e Participações S.A.19.90%$0.5871.92%
3698.HKHuishang Bank Corporation Limited19.56%$0.6428.80%
SVAV.MESollers Public Joint Stock Company19.34%$110.6440.44%
0536.HKTradelink Electronic Commerce Limited19.33%$0.2086.09%
3658.HKNew Hope Service Holdings Limited19.28%$0.3766.51%
0123.HKYuexiu Property Company Limited19.19%$0.7790.88%
0N7I.LCairo Communication S.p.A.19.19%$0.3654.94%
1798.HKChina Datang Corporation Renewable Power Co., Limited19.01%$0.4063.00%
LBS.TOLife & Banc Split Corp.19.00%$2.2540.31%
HMSB.DEH & M Hennes & Mauritz AB (publ)18.98%$3.2647.98%
0608.HKHigh Fashion International Limited18.79%$0.3150.08%
0U8N.LCredicorp Ltd.18.72%$53.8266.14%
CAASChina Automotive Systems, Inc.18.61%$0.8072.30%
KRSB.MEPJSC Krasnoyarskenergosbyt18.38%$4.0782.55%
1127.HKLion Rock Group Limited18.37%$0.2547.23%
HAVAS.ASHavas S.A.18.35%$3.1490.23%
1480.HKYan Tat Group Holdings Limited18.33%$0.2249.33%
NA-PC.TONational Bank of Canada18.32%$4.9348.59%
1412.HKQ P Group Holdings Limited18.24%$0.2973.74%
FVJ.FFortescue Metals Group Limited18.16%$2.2776.64%
YATO.MCAtom Hoteles SOCIMI, S.A.18.06%$2.8568.99%
0327.HKPAX Global Technology Limited17.98%$0.9261.66%
1MO.FHello Group Inc.17.92%$1.0440.52%
PIN.BKPinthong Industrial Park Public Company Limited17.92%$0.7680.79%
1883.HKCITIC Telecom International Holdings Limited17.86%$0.4487.51%
6896.HKGolden Throat Holdings Group Company Limited17.79%$0.5576.14%
VOT.WAVotum S.A.17.65%$8.1559.83%
ALTUR.PAAltur Investissement SCA, SCR17.58%$1.9337.11%
O7F1.FOdfjell SE17.55%$1.7873.02%
2219.HKChaoju Eye Care Holdings Limited17.38%$0.4784.16%
001390.KSKG Chemical Corporation17.24%$884.5197.69%
2360.HKBest Mart 360 Holdings Limited17.23%$0.3582.20%
ALSAS.PAStradim Espace Finances S.A.17.16%$0.8055.65%
9615.SRMufeed Company17.11%$5.3935.54%
LPPF.JKPT Matahari Department Store Tbk17.09%$300.0082.85%
0LNT.LFugro N.V.17.06%$1.5239.50%
0458.HKTristate Holdings Limited17.02%$0.3133.15%
2283.HKTK Group (Holdings) Limited16.99%$0.4372.10%
1263.HKPC Partner Group Limited16.85%$0.9063.10%
2603.TWEvergreen Marine Corporation (Taiwan) Ltd.16.83%$32.4977.53%
ALHRG.PAHerige16.78%$3.6697.55%
TD-PFJ.TOThe Toronto-Dominion Bank NCUM 5Y PFD SR1816.67%$4.3836.07%
S7MB.BESecuritas AB (publ)16.59%$2.2523.09%
1184.HKS.A.S. Dragon Holdings Limited16.56%$0.7552.32%
PBR-APetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras16.54%$1.8786.52%
VRLA.PAVerallia S.A.16.47%$3.8397.79%
6668.HKE-Star Commercial Management Company Limited16.42%$0.2372.71%
0098.HKXingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited16.13%$1.1729.94%
ING.AXInghams Group Limited16.09%$0.4179.67%
1234.HKChina Lilang Limited16.04%$0.5466.61%