Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$129.43 - $343.34$197.91
Multi-Stage$86.87 - $95.01$90.86
Blended Fair Value$144.39
Current Price$97.01
Upside48.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.63%6.76%0.400.370.360.340.320.300.320.290.260.24
YoY Growth--7.75%4.23%4.84%5.98%5.41%-6.33%10.23%12.57%9.65%14.70%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.30%0.28%0.31%0.28%0.59%0.72%0.72%0.99%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)403.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)372.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.6450.4030.24
Cash Retained (M)372.50372.50372.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.64-50.40-30.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)291.86322.10342.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.414.835.10
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$129.43$197.91$343.34
Upside / Downside33.42%104.01%253.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)403.20429.41457.32487.05518.70552.42568.99
Payout Ratio7.61%24.09%40.57%57.05%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.70103.45185.53277.84381.37497.18526.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)93.9394.8295.71
Year 2 PV (M)152.96155.87158.82
Year 3 PV (M)207.99213.96220.05
Year 4 PV (M)259.23269.20279.45
Year 5 PV (M)306.86321.68337.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,327.095,584.405,851.54
Equity Value (M)6,348.076,639.946,942.64
Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
Fair Value$86.87$90.86$95.01
Upside / Downside-10.45%-6.33%-2.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 4 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
EG7.IRFBD Holdings plc12.49%$1.9761.47%
WILCG. Willi-Food International Ltd.12.48%$3.5852.70%
9908.HKJiaXing Gas Group Co., Ltd.12.44%$1.0240.94%
MPMX.JKPT Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk12.44%$120.0095.84%
0QL5.LCarlo Gavazzi Holding AG12.42%$20.0062.49%
GOZ.AXGrowthpoint Properties Australia12.40%$0.3016.37%
1999.HKMan Wah Holdings Limited12.39%$0.5757.62%
1285.HKJiashili Group Limited12.38%$0.1455.24%
600015.SSHua Xia Bank Co., Limited12.36%$0.8549.77%
BNP.DEBNP Paribas S.A.12.28%$10.0751.11%
0836.HKChina Resources Power Holdings Company Limited12.20%$2.1541.97%
BIS.AXBisalloy Steel Group Limited12.19%$0.5981.88%
KBS.BKKhonburi Sugar Public Company Limited12.17%$0.7056.34%
9300.SRAlwaha REIT Fund12.14%$1.1871.67%
2005.HKSSY Group Limited12.13%$0.3550.50%
BGI-UN.TOBrookfield Global Infrastructure Securities Income Fund12.09%$0.9646.13%
2003.HKVCREDIT Holdings Limited12.07%$0.3218.47%
1713.HKSichuan Energy Investment Development Co., Ltd.12.02%$0.2941.35%
NSI.ASNSI N.V.12.02%$2.3330.60%
RIO1.DERio Tinto Group12.02%$8.2864.54%
IGL.AXIVE Group Limited12.01%$0.3574.81%
0G5B.LSto SE & Co. KGaA12.00%$14.6483.41%
CDU.LSConduril - Engenharia, S.A.12.00%$1.8069.00%
2156.HKC&D Property Management Group Co. Limited11.98%$0.3354.74%
0057.HKChen Hsong Holdings Limited11.94%$0.1945.38%
BBSE3.SABB Seguridade Participações S.A.11.93%$4.2691.94%
SWUT.VISW Umwelttechnik Stoiser & Wolschner AG11.93%$3.7034.18%
0Q76.LCBo Territoria S.A.11.92%$0.4461.80%
ALCOF.PACofidur S.A.11.92%$34.8038.87%
0239.HKPak Fah Yeow International Limited11.87%$0.2852.60%
2356.HKDah Sing Banking Group Limited11.87%$1.2941.19%
3311.HKChina State Construction International Holdings Limited11.87%$1.1029.31%
ENGI.PAEngie S.A.11.87%$2.7376.93%
SENA.BKSena Development Public Company Limited11.86%$0.2074.93%
4348.SRAlkhabeer REIT Fund11.85%$0.6698.08%
AWZ.SIMulti-Chem Limited11.83%$0.4160.70%
0331.HKFSE Lifestyle Services Limited11.81%$0.6731.73%
SUL.AXSuper Retail Group Limited11.78%$1.8791.92%
2877.HKChina Shineway Pharmaceutical Group Limited11.77%$1.0139.47%
DSWLDeswell Industries, Inc.11.77%$0.4027.95%
0855.HKChina Water Affairs Group Limited11.75%$0.6256.78%
0659.HKCTF Services Limited11.70%$0.8876.18%
DRA.AXDRA Global Limited11.69%$0.2158.65%
GWA.AXGWA Group Limited11.68%$0.2995.40%
0968.HKXinyi Solar Holdings Limited11.67%$0.3670.18%
ENI-UN.TOEnergy Income Fund11.66%$0.2356.38%
TCF.AX360 Capital Mortgage REIT11.66%$0.6776.18%
3316.HKBinjiang Service Group Co. Ltd.11.65%$2.7669.09%
CC3.SIStarHub Ltd11.65%$0.1381.69%
TFG-R.BKThaifoods Group Public Company Limited11.65%$0.5242.58%