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China Shineway Pharmaceutical Group Limited

ID: 2877.HK SECTOR: Healthcare INDUSTRY: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
9.81
-0.13 (-1.31%)
Ref: 2026-04-13
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $43.09 - $112.42 $64.46
Multi-Stage DDM $16.36 - $17.89 $17.11
Blended Fair Value $40.78
Stock Price$9.52

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 0.5400.4200.3200.6000.3190.3190.3190.3200.3200.330
YoY % 28.57%31.25%-46.67%88.03%0.05%-0.13%-0.20%0.00%-3.03%0.00%
Yield 5.67%4.41%3.36%6.30%3.35%3.35%3.35%3.36%3.36%3.47%

CAGRValue
5 Year11.11%
10 Year5.05%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $43.09 - $112.42 $64.46

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 115.05 115.05 115.05
(=) Cash Required 23.01 14.38 8.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.89 0.97 1.03
LTM Dividend per Share 0.540 0.540 0.540
(=) Adjusted Dividend 1.430 1.513 1.569

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 115.05 122.53130.50138.98148.01157.63
Projected Dividends 55.87 30.6353.5079.22108.05141.87

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 29.07 29.34 29.62
Year 2 PV 46.14 47.02 47.90
Year 3 PV 62.08 63.86 65.68
Year 4 PV 76.96 79.92 82.96
Year 5 PV 91.83 96.27 100.87
TV PV 1,387.02 1,454.01 1,523.57
Equity Value 1,693.09 1,770.42 1,850.60
Fair Value $16.36 $17.11 $17.89

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EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
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MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
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NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
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