Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

BHP Group Limited (BHP.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.89 - $53.73$42.94
Multi-Stage$63.29 - $69.39$66.28
Blended Fair Value$54.61
Current Price$24.18
Upside125.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.42%-0.15%1.261.512.613.511.561.352.241.030.580.81
YoY Growth---16.57%-42.15%-25.67%125.93%14.91%-39.66%118.30%78.71%-29.27%-36.44%
Dividend Yield--5.21%5.24%8.72%12.34%4.80%6.15%8.68%4.60%3.61%6.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,916.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14,078.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,838.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,383.202,114.501,268.70
Cash Retained (M)2,838.002,838.002,838.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,383.20-2,114.50-1,268.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)-545.20723.501,569.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,080.005,080.005,080.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.110.140.31
LTM Dividend per Share2.772.772.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.110.140.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.662.913.08
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-0.61%0.39%1.39%
Fair Value$33.89$42.94$53.73
Upside / Downside40.16%77.58%122.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,916.0016,982.6017,049.4617,116.5917,183.9817,251.6417,769.18
Payout Ratio83.22%84.58%85.93%87.29%88.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14,078.0014,363.6114,651.2514,940.9315,232.6715,526.4716,436.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-0.61%0.39%1.39%
Year 1 PV (M)13,264.6613,398.1113,531.57
Year 2 PV (M)12,495.0912,747.7813,003.00
Year 3 PV (M)11,767.2512,126.0012,491.98
Year 4 PV (M)11,079.1311,531.7711,998.14
Year 5 PV (M)10,428.8110,964.1011,521.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)262,469.55275,941.44289,960.93
Equity Value (M)321,504.49336,709.21352,506.76
Shares Outstanding (M)5,080.005,080.005,080.00
Fair Value$63.29$66.28$69.39
Upside / Downside161.74%174.12%186.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 4 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
EG7.IRFBD Holdings plc12.49%$1.9761.47%
WILCG. Willi-Food International Ltd.12.48%$3.5852.70%
9908.HKJiaXing Gas Group Co., Ltd.12.44%$1.0240.94%
MPMX.JKPT Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk12.44%$120.0095.84%
0QL5.LCarlo Gavazzi Holding AG12.42%$20.0062.49%
GOZ.AXGrowthpoint Properties Australia12.40%$0.3016.37%
1999.HKMan Wah Holdings Limited12.39%$0.5757.62%
1285.HKJiashili Group Limited12.38%$0.1455.24%
600015.SSHua Xia Bank Co., Limited12.36%$0.8549.77%
BNP.DEBNP Paribas S.A.12.28%$10.0751.11%
0836.HKChina Resources Power Holdings Company Limited12.20%$2.1541.97%
BIS.AXBisalloy Steel Group Limited12.19%$0.5981.88%
KBS.BKKhonburi Sugar Public Company Limited12.17%$0.7056.34%
9300.SRAlwaha REIT Fund12.14%$1.1871.67%
2005.HKSSY Group Limited12.13%$0.3550.50%
BGI-UN.TOBrookfield Global Infrastructure Securities Income Fund12.09%$0.9646.13%
2003.HKVCREDIT Holdings Limited12.07%$0.3218.47%
1713.HKSichuan Energy Investment Development Co., Ltd.12.02%$0.2941.35%
NSI.ASNSI N.V.12.02%$2.3330.60%
RIO1.DERio Tinto Group12.02%$8.2864.54%
IGL.AXIVE Group Limited12.01%$0.3574.81%
0G5B.LSto SE & Co. KGaA12.00%$14.6483.41%
CDU.LSConduril - Engenharia, S.A.12.00%$1.8069.00%
2156.HKC&D Property Management Group Co. Limited11.98%$0.3354.74%
0057.HKChen Hsong Holdings Limited11.94%$0.1945.38%
BBSE3.SABB Seguridade Participações S.A.11.93%$4.2691.94%
SWUT.VISW Umwelttechnik Stoiser & Wolschner AG11.93%$3.7034.18%
0Q76.LCBo Territoria S.A.11.92%$0.4461.80%
ALCOF.PACofidur S.A.11.92%$34.8038.87%
0239.HKPak Fah Yeow International Limited11.87%$0.2852.60%
2356.HKDah Sing Banking Group Limited11.87%$1.2941.19%
3311.HKChina State Construction International Holdings Limited11.87%$1.1029.31%
ENGI.PAEngie S.A.11.87%$2.7376.93%
SENA.BKSena Development Public Company Limited11.86%$0.2074.93%
4348.SRAlkhabeer REIT Fund11.85%$0.6698.08%
AWZ.SIMulti-Chem Limited11.83%$0.4160.70%
0331.HKFSE Lifestyle Services Limited11.81%$0.6731.73%
SUL.AXSuper Retail Group Limited11.78%$1.8791.92%
2877.HKChina Shineway Pharmaceutical Group Limited11.77%$1.0139.47%
DSWLDeswell Industries, Inc.11.77%$0.4027.95%
0855.HKChina Water Affairs Group Limited11.75%$0.6256.78%
0659.HKCTF Services Limited11.70%$0.8876.18%
DRA.AXDRA Global Limited11.69%$0.2158.65%
GWA.AXGWA Group Limited11.68%$0.2995.40%
0968.HKXinyi Solar Holdings Limited11.67%$0.3670.18%
ENI-UN.TOEnergy Income Fund11.66%$0.2356.38%
TCF.AX360 Capital Mortgage REIT11.66%$0.6776.18%
3316.HKBinjiang Service Group Co. Ltd.11.65%$2.7669.09%
CC3.SIStarHub Ltd11.65%$0.1381.69%
TFG-R.BKThaifoods Group Public Company Limited11.65%$0.5242.58%