Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

First Tractor Company Limited (601038.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.41 - $144.30$135.23
Multi-Stage$19.58 - $21.40$20.47
Blended Fair Value$77.85
Current Price$12.67
Upside514.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.83%7.65%0.320.240.120.090.060.120.170.180.140.16
YoY Growth--34.21%102.03%25.05%48.68%-48.92%-27.34%-2.81%24.29%-9.90%2.63%
Dividend Yield--2.32%1.42%1.08%0.79%0.56%1.91%3.17%2.55%1.26%1.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)815.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)582.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)232.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)163.06101.9161.15
Cash Retained (M)232.42232.42232.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-163.06-101.91-61.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.36130.51171.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,123.651,123.651,123.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.120.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.120.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$44.41$135.23$144.30
Upside / Downside250.51%967.33%1,038.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)815.31868.30924.74984.851,048.871,117.041,150.55
Payout Ratio71.49%75.19%78.90%82.60%86.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)582.89652.91729.58813.46905.161,005.341,064.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)605.16610.89616.63
Year 2 PV (M)626.75638.69650.74
Year 3 PV (M)647.69666.28685.23
Year 4 PV (M)667.98693.67720.09
Year 5 PV (M)687.65720.86755.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,766.5019,672.9320,614.05
Equity Value (M)22,001.7223,003.3224,042.08
Shares Outstanding (M)1,123.651,123.651,123.65
Fair Value$19.58$20.47$21.40
Upside / Downside54.54%61.58%68.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 4 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
EG7.IRFBD Holdings plc12.49%$1.9761.47%
WILCG. Willi-Food International Ltd.12.48%$3.5852.70%
9908.HKJiaXing Gas Group Co., Ltd.12.44%$1.0240.94%
MPMX.JKPT Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk12.44%$120.0095.84%
0QL5.LCarlo Gavazzi Holding AG12.42%$20.0062.49%
GOZ.AXGrowthpoint Properties Australia12.40%$0.3016.37%
1999.HKMan Wah Holdings Limited12.39%$0.5757.62%
1285.HKJiashili Group Limited12.38%$0.1455.24%
600015.SSHua Xia Bank Co., Limited12.36%$0.8549.77%
BNP.DEBNP Paribas S.A.12.28%$10.0751.11%
0836.HKChina Resources Power Holdings Company Limited12.20%$2.1541.97%
BIS.AXBisalloy Steel Group Limited12.19%$0.5981.88%
KBS.BKKhonburi Sugar Public Company Limited12.17%$0.7056.34%
9300.SRAlwaha REIT Fund12.14%$1.1871.67%
2005.HKSSY Group Limited12.13%$0.3550.50%
BGI-UN.TOBrookfield Global Infrastructure Securities Income Fund12.09%$0.9646.13%
2003.HKVCREDIT Holdings Limited12.07%$0.3218.47%
1713.HKSichuan Energy Investment Development Co., Ltd.12.02%$0.2941.35%
NSI.ASNSI N.V.12.02%$2.3330.60%
RIO1.DERio Tinto Group12.02%$8.2864.54%
IGL.AXIVE Group Limited12.01%$0.3574.81%
0G5B.LSto SE & Co. KGaA12.00%$14.6483.41%
CDU.LSConduril - Engenharia, S.A.12.00%$1.8069.00%
2156.HKC&D Property Management Group Co. Limited11.98%$0.3354.74%
0057.HKChen Hsong Holdings Limited11.94%$0.1945.38%
BBSE3.SABB Seguridade Participações S.A.11.93%$4.2691.94%
SWUT.VISW Umwelttechnik Stoiser & Wolschner AG11.93%$3.7034.18%
0Q76.LCBo Territoria S.A.11.92%$0.4461.80%
ALCOF.PACofidur S.A.11.92%$34.8038.87%
0239.HKPak Fah Yeow International Limited11.87%$0.2852.60%
2356.HKDah Sing Banking Group Limited11.87%$1.2941.19%
3311.HKChina State Construction International Holdings Limited11.87%$1.1029.31%
ENGI.PAEngie S.A.11.87%$2.7376.93%
SENA.BKSena Development Public Company Limited11.86%$0.2074.93%
4348.SRAlkhabeer REIT Fund11.85%$0.6698.08%
AWZ.SIMulti-Chem Limited11.83%$0.4160.70%
0331.HKFSE Lifestyle Services Limited11.81%$0.6731.73%
SUL.AXSuper Retail Group Limited11.78%$1.8791.92%
2877.HKChina Shineway Pharmaceutical Group Limited11.77%$1.0139.47%
DSWLDeswell Industries, Inc.11.77%$0.4027.95%
0855.HKChina Water Affairs Group Limited11.75%$0.6256.78%
0659.HKCTF Services Limited11.70%$0.8876.18%
DRA.AXDRA Global Limited11.69%$0.2158.65%
GWA.AXGWA Group Limited11.68%$0.2995.40%
0968.HKXinyi Solar Holdings Limited11.67%$0.3670.18%
ENI-UN.TOEnergy Income Fund11.66%$0.2356.38%
TCF.AX360 Capital Mortgage REIT11.66%$0.6776.18%
3316.HKBinjiang Service Group Co. Ltd.11.65%$2.7669.09%
CC3.SIStarHub Ltd11.65%$0.1381.69%
TFG-R.BKThaifoods Group Public Company Limited11.65%$0.5242.58%