Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Evans Electric Ltd. (EVANS.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$295.77 - $532.33$394.73
Multi-Stage$228.81 - $249.73$239.08
Blended Fair Value$316.90
Current Price$165.00
Upside92.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.21%0.00%1.711.140.570.340.571.100.000.030.250.10
YoY Growth--50.00%100.00%69.03%-40.84%-48.21%0.00%-100.00%-89.40%150.73%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%1.07%1.10%1.39%0.80%2.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)97.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.4912.187.31
Cash Retained (M)83.7283.7283.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.49-12.18-7.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)64.2371.5476.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.804.804.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.3814.9015.91
LTM Dividend per Share2.862.862.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.3814.9015.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.2317.7618.77
WACC / Discount Rate11.29%11.29%11.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$295.77$394.73$532.33
Upside / Downside79.25%139.23%222.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)97.44103.77110.52117.70125.35133.50137.51
Payout Ratio14.08%29.26%44.45%59.63%74.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.7230.3749.1270.1993.78120.15127.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.29%11.29%11.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27.0327.2927.54
Year 2 PV (M)38.9239.6640.41
Year 3 PV (M)49.5050.9252.37
Year 4 PV (M)58.8761.1463.47
Year 5 PV (M)67.1470.3873.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)857.26898.67941.66
Equity Value (M)1,098.721,148.051,199.19
Shares Outstanding (M)4.804.804.80
Fair Value$228.81$239.08$249.73
Upside / Downside38.67%44.90%51.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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