DDM Analysis: LTLS.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,116.67 - $1,775.39	$1,416.47
Multi-Stage	$2,353.89 - $2,590.05	$2,469.67
Blended Fair Value	$1,943.07
Current Price	$880.00
Upside	120.80%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-3.28%	0.73%	34.90	52.14	98.97	15.41	35.95	41.22	30.44	12.17	0.00	17.79
YoY Growth	-	-	-33.07%	-47.32%	542.36%	-57.14%	-12.79%	35.45%	150.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-45.16%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.88%	4.59%	7.39%	2.00%	7.22%	9.16%	4.65%	1.87%	0.00%	4.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	163,395.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	65,911.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	97,484.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	32,679.00	20,424.38	12,254.63
Cash Retained (M)	97,484.00	97,484.00	97,484.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-32,679.00	-20,424.38	-12,254.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	64,805.00	77,059.63	85,229.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,491.04	1,491.04	1,491.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share	43.46	51.68	57.16
LTM Dividend per Share	44.20	44.20	44.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	43.46	51.68	57.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	87.67	95.89	101.37
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	-1.27%	-0.27%	0.73%
Fair Value	$1,116.67	$1,416.47	$1,775.39
Upside / Downside	26.89%	60.96%	101.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	163,395.00	162,961.57	162,529.30	162,098.17	161,668.18	161,239.34	166,076.52
Payout Ratio	40.34%	50.27%	60.20%	70.14%	80.07%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	65,911.00	81,922.01	97,847.62	113,688.16	129,443.98	145,115.40	153,620.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	-1.27%	-0.27%	0.73%
Year 1 PV (M)	76,160.68	76,932.05	77,703.41
Year 2 PV (M)	84,568.90	86,290.63	88,029.70
Year 3 PV (M)	91,349.43	94,153.24	97,013.84
Year 4 PV (M)	96,694.70	100,671.97	104,770.69
Year 5 PV (M)	100,777.72	105,985.61	111,406.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,060,193.72	3,218,335.27	3,382,948.11
Equity Value (M)	3,509,745.16	3,682,368.77	3,861,872.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,491.04	1,491.04	1,491.04
Fair Value	$2,353.89	$2,469.67	$2,590.05
Upside / Downside	167.49%	180.64%	194.32%

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PT Lautan Luas Tbk (LTLS.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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