Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Harboes Bryggeri A/S (HARB-B.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$163.80 - $312.82$223.73
Multi-Stage$279.66 - $307.56$293.34
Blended Fair Value$258.54
Current Price$144.34
Upside79.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%-1.04%2.000.000.000.000.000.001.082.162.162.16
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-49.99%0.00%0.00%-2.58%
Dividend Yield--1.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.39%2.37%1.82%1.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.965.603.36
Cash Retained (M)36.3536.3536.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.96-5.60-3.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.3930.7532.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.224.224.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.497.287.82
LTM Dividend per Share2.002.002.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.497.287.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.499.289.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.11%6.11%6.11%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Fair Value$163.80$223.73$312.82
Upside / Downside13.49%55.00%116.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.8045.6446.5047.3848.2749.1850.66
Payout Ratio18.85%33.08%47.31%61.54%75.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.4515.1022.0029.1636.5844.2646.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.11%6.11%6.11%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Year 1 PV (M)14.0914.2314.37
Year 2 PV (M)19.1619.5419.92
Year 3 PV (M)23.6924.4025.13
Year 4 PV (M)27.7328.8530.00
Year 5 PV (M)31.3232.9034.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,064.631,118.451,174.42
Equity Value (M)1,180.611,238.361,298.38
Shares Outstanding (M)4.224.224.22
Fair Value$279.66$293.34$307.56
Upside / Downside93.75%103.23%113.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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