Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Harboes Bryggeri A/S (HARB-B.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$153.66 - $282.61$206.85
Multi-Stage$250.55 - $275.45$262.76
Blended Fair Value$234.80
Current Price$144.34
Upside62.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%-1.04%2.000.000.000.000.000.001.082.162.162.16
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-49.99%0.00%0.00%-2.58%
Dividend Yield--1.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.39%2.37%1.82%1.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.965.603.36
Cash Retained (M)36.3536.3536.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.96-5.60-3.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.3930.7532.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.224.224.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.497.287.82
LTM Dividend per Share2.002.002.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.497.287.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.499.289.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Fair Value$153.66$206.85$282.61
Upside / Downside6.46%43.31%95.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.8045.6446.5047.3848.2749.1850.66
Payout Ratio18.85%33.08%47.31%61.54%75.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.4515.1022.0029.1636.5844.2646.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Year 1 PV (M)14.0414.1814.32
Year 2 PV (M)19.0319.4119.79
Year 3 PV (M)23.4624.1724.88
Year 4 PV (M)27.3728.4729.61
Year 5 PV (M)30.8132.3733.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)942.98990.651,040.23
Equity Value (M)1,057.701,109.251,162.83
Shares Outstanding (M)4.224.224.22
Fair Value$250.55$262.76$275.45
Upside / Downside73.58%82.04%90.84%

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