DDM Analysis: 9302.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,698.16 - $2,900.95	$2,219.35
Multi-Stage	$1,508.56 - $1,644.72	$1,575.42
Blended Fair Value	$1,897.39
Current Price	$4,135.00
Upside	-54.11%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	43.62%	12.99%	50.63	61.20	55.13	21.57	16.59	8.29	0.00	0.00	16.59	16.59
YoY Growth	-	-	-17.27%	11.01%	155.58%	30.06%	100.16%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	11.10%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.29%	3.85%	4.73%	2.25%	1.97%	1.67%	0.00%	0.00%	3.24%	3.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	9,782.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,641.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,141.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,956.40	1,222.75	733.65
Cash Retained (M)	6,141.00	6,141.00	6,141.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,956.40	-1,222.75	-733.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,184.60	4,918.25	5,407.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	74.82	74.82	74.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share	55.93	65.74	72.27
LTM Dividend per Share	48.66	48.66	48.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share	55.93	65.74	72.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	104.59	114.40	120.94
WACC / Discount Rate	11.12%	11.12%	11.12%
Growth Rate	4.67%	5.67%	6.67%
Fair Value	$1,698.16	$2,219.35	$2,900.95
Upside / Downside	-58.93%	-46.33%	-29.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	9,782.00	10,336.96	10,923.39	11,543.10	12,197.97	12,889.99	13,276.69
Payout Ratio	37.22%	47.78%	58.33%	68.89%	79.44%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,641.00	4,938.70	6,371.93	7,951.88	9,690.59	11,600.99	12,280.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	11.12%	11.12%	11.12%
Growth Rate	4.67%	5.67%	6.67%
Year 1 PV (M)	4,402.41	4,444.46	4,486.52
Year 2 PV (M)	5,063.20	5,160.41	5,258.54
Year 3 PV (M)	5,632.51	5,795.49	5,961.58
Year 4 PV (M)	6,118.71	6,355.90	6,599.92
Year 5 PV (M)	6,529.53	6,847.44	7,177.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)	85,123.05	89,267.62	93,572.08
Equity Value (M)	112,869.40	117,871.33	123,056.27
Shares Outstanding (M)	74.82	74.82	74.82
Fair Value	$1,508.56	$1,575.42	$1,644.72
Upside / Downside	-63.52%	-61.90%	-60.22%

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MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. (9302.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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