Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Lectra S.A. (LSS.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.21 - $65.94$33.96
Multi-Stage$14.33 - $15.64$14.97
Blended Fair Value$24.47
Current Price$23.90
Upside2.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.00%7.97%0.370.480.360.210.340.340.320.290.240.20
YoY Growth---22.14%33.40%73.76%-39.12%0.49%6.32%9.52%18.36%21.29%16.66%
Dividend Yield--1.40%1.46%0.98%0.48%1.20%2.33%1.45%1.26%1.17%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.163.852.31
Cash Retained (M)15.1015.1015.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.16-3.85-2.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.9411.2512.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.0438.0438.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.300.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.300.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.21$33.96$65.94
Upside / Downside-11.26%42.11%175.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.7932.7934.9237.1939.6142.1843.45
Payout Ratio50.95%58.76%66.57%74.38%82.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.6919.2723.2527.6632.5537.9640.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17.5617.7217.89
Year 2 PV (M)19.3019.6720.04
Year 3 PV (M)20.9221.5322.14
Year 4 PV (M)22.4423.3024.19
Year 5 PV (M)23.8424.9926.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)441.20462.51484.63
Equity Value (M)545.25569.71595.07
Shares Outstanding (M)38.0438.0438.04
Fair Value$14.33$14.97$15.64
Upside / Downside-40.03%-37.34%-34.55%

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