Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lectra S.A. (LSS.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.53 - $160.94$81.75
Multi-Stage$18.77 - $20.51$19.63
Blended Fair Value$50.69
Current Price$23.90
Upside112.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.00%7.97%0.370.480.360.210.340.340.320.290.240.20
YoY Growth---22.14%33.40%73.76%-39.12%0.49%6.32%9.52%18.36%21.29%16.66%
Dividend Yield--1.40%1.46%0.98%0.48%1.20%2.33%1.45%1.26%1.17%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.163.852.31
Cash Retained (M)15.1015.1015.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.16-3.85-2.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.9411.2512.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.0438.0438.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.300.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.300.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$35.53$81.75$160.94
Upside / Downside48.65%242.04%573.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.7932.7934.9237.1939.6142.1843.45
Payout Ratio50.95%58.76%66.57%74.38%82.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.6919.2723.2527.6632.5537.9640.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17.7717.9418.10
Year 2 PV (M)19.7720.1520.53
Year 3 PV (M)21.6922.3122.95
Year 4 PV (M)23.5424.4525.38
Year 5 PV (M)25.3226.5427.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)605.99635.26665.65
Equity Value (M)714.08746.64780.42
Shares Outstanding (M)38.0438.0438.04
Fair Value$18.77$19.63$20.51
Upside / Downside-21.47%-17.88%-14.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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