Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lorne Park Capital Partners Inc. (LPC.V)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.58 - $11.36$10.64
Multi-Stage$1.77 - $1.93$1.85
Blended Fair Value$6.25
Current Price$2.19
Upside185.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.030.020.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.71%19.94%57.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.95%2.22%1.68%1.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.640.400.24
Cash Retained (M)1.341.341.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.64-0.40-0.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.700.941.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.0256.0256.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5.58$10.64$11.36
Upside / Downside154.57%385.98%418.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.203.413.633.864.124.384.51
Payout Ratio58.11%64.49%70.87%77.24%83.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.862.202.572.993.443.944.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.052.072.09
Year 2 PV (M)2.232.272.32
Year 3 PV (M)2.412.482.55
Year 4 PV (M)2.592.692.79
Year 5 PV (M)2.762.903.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)86.9791.1795.53
Equity Value (M)99.01103.58108.31
Shares Outstanding (M)56.0256.0256.02
Fair Value$1.77$1.85$1.93
Upside / Downside-19.30%-15.58%-11.72%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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