Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Lorne Park Capital Partners Inc. (LPC.V)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.22 - $11.36$4.54
Multi-Stage$1.26 - $1.37$1.32
Blended Fair Value$2.93
Current Price$2.19
Upside33.76%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.030.020.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.71%19.94%57.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.95%2.22%1.68%1.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.640.400.24
Cash Retained (M)1.341.341.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.64-0.40-0.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.700.941.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.0256.0256.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2.22$4.54$11.36
Upside / Downside1.35%107.44%418.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.203.413.633.864.124.384.51
Payout Ratio58.11%64.49%70.87%77.24%83.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.862.202.572.993.443.944.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.022.042.06
Year 2 PV (M)2.182.222.26
Year 3 PV (M)2.322.392.46
Year 4 PV (M)2.472.562.66
Year 5 PV (M)2.602.732.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)58.9361.7864.73
Equity Value (M)70.5273.7177.02
Shares Outstanding (M)56.0256.0256.02
Fair Value$1.26$1.32$1.37
Upside / Downside-42.52%-39.92%-37.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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