Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Beiersdorf AG (BEI.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.80 - $142.06$106.84
Multi-Stage$91.18 - $99.87$95.44
Blended Fair Value$101.14
Current Price$106.60
Upside-5.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-38.49%-21.57%0.060.710.710.710.710.710.710.710.710.71
YoY Growth---91.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.05%0.52%0.66%0.78%0.75%0.66%0.77%0.73%0.88%0.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,344.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)338.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,005.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)268.80168.00100.80
Cash Retained (M)1,005.501,005.501,005.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-268.80-168.00-100.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)736.70837.50904.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)224.91224.91224.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.283.724.02
LTM Dividend per Share1.511.511.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.283.724.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.785.235.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.67%8.67%8.67%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Fair Value$80.80$106.84$142.06
Upside / Downside-24.20%0.23%33.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,344.001,392.321,442.391,494.251,547.971,603.631,651.74
Payout Ratio25.19%38.15%51.11%64.07%77.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)338.50531.15737.23957.431,192.511,443.271,527.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.67%8.67%8.67%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Year 1 PV (M)484.08488.80493.52
Year 2 PV (M)612.34624.33636.45
Year 3 PV (M)724.76746.16767.98
Year 4 PV (M)822.71855.26888.76
Year 5 PV (M)907.45952.55999.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,955.9017,798.5218,674.30
Equity Value (M)20,507.2521,465.6222,460.42
Shares Outstanding (M)224.91224.91224.91
Fair Value$91.18$95.44$99.87
Upside / Downside-14.46%-10.47%-6.32%

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