Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hantech (098070.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26,066.33 - $37,353.36$31,591.55
Multi-Stage$40,382.11 - $44,403.86$42,353.84
Blended Fair Value$36,972.70
Current Price$42,650.00
Upside-13.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%320.290.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36,287.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,970.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)32,317.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,257.574,535.982,721.59
Cash Retained (M)32,317.7132,317.7132,317.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,257.57-4,535.98-2,721.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)25,060.1427,781.7329,596.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.649.649.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,599.342,881.633,069.83
LTM Dividend per Share411.80411.80411.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,599.342,881.633,069.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,011.133,293.433,481.62
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26,066.33$31,591.55$37,353.36
Upside / Downside-38.88%-25.93%-12.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36,287.8635,924.9835,565.7335,210.0834,857.9734,509.3935,544.68
Payout Ratio10.94%26.75%42.56%58.38%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,970.159,610.8515,138.3520,554.3325,860.4831,058.4632,878.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8,702.628,791.428,880.23
Year 2 PV (M)12,412.3712,666.9812,924.17
Year 3 PV (M)15,260.4715,732.4116,213.98
Year 4 PV (M)17,385.5818,106.1418,848.86
Year 5 PV (M)18,906.9219,891.4420,916.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)316,655.18333,144.15350,312.97
Equity Value (M)389,323.14408,332.54428,096.76
Shares Outstanding (M)9.649.649.64
Fair Value$40,382.11$42,353.84$44,403.86
Upside / Downside-5.32%-0.69%4.11%

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