Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hantech (098070.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68,529.10 - $150,976.44$98,621.41
Multi-Stage$298,678.62 - $330,110.54$314,078.90
Blended Fair Value$206,350.15
Current Price$42,650.00
Upside383.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%320.290.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36,287.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,970.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)32,317.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,257.574,535.982,721.59
Cash Retained (M)32,317.7132,317.7132,317.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,257.57-4,535.98-2,721.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)25,060.1427,781.7329,596.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.649.649.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,599.342,881.633,069.83
LTM Dividend per Share411.80411.80411.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,599.342,881.633,069.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,011.133,293.433,481.62
WACC / Discount Rate2.31%2.31%2.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$68,529.10$98,621.41$150,976.44
Upside / Downside60.68%131.23%253.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36,287.8635,924.9835,565.7335,210.0834,857.9734,509.3935,544.68
Payout Ratio10.94%26.75%42.56%58.38%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,970.159,610.8515,138.3520,554.3325,860.4831,058.4632,878.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.31%2.31%2.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9,299.339,394.229,489.11
Year 2 PV (M)14,172.8614,463.5814,757.25
Year 3 PV (M)18,619.6619,195.4919,783.06
Year 4 PV (M)22,667.0323,606.4724,574.81
Year 5 PV (M)26,340.6927,712.3229,140.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,788,455.212,933,656.543,084,844.63
Equity Value (M)2,879,554.783,028,028.613,182,589.35
Shares Outstanding (M)9.649.649.64
Fair Value$298,678.62$314,078.90$330,110.54
Upside / Downside600.30%636.41%674.00%

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