Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk (SIMP.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,810.21 - $3,500.90$2,484.32
Multi-Stage$2,853.29 - $3,137.80$2,992.81
Blended Fair Value$2,738.57
Current Price$510.00
Upside436.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.19%0.00%10.0015.0013.003.002.673.3810.0010.005.0016.00
YoY Growth---33.33%15.38%333.34%12.26%-21.05%-66.15%0.00%100.00%-68.75%60.00%
Dividend Yield--2.59%3.97%3.25%0.60%0.55%1.61%2.28%1.68%0.80%3.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,776,204.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)155,013.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,621,191.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)355,240.80222,025.50133,215.30
Cash Retained (M)1,621,191.001,621,191.001,621,191.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-355,240.80-222,025.50-133,215.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,265,950.201,399,165.501,487,975.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15,501.3115,501.3115,501.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share81.6790.2695.99
LTM Dividend per Share10.0010.0010.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share81.6790.2695.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend91.67100.26105.99
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate1.19%2.19%3.19%
Fair Value$1,810.21$2,484.32$3,500.90
Upside / Downside254.94%387.12%586.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,776,204.001,815,028.711,854,702.051,895,242.591,936,669.271,979,001.462,038,371.50
Payout Ratio8.73%24.98%41.24%57.49%73.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)155,013.00453,426.22764,810.951,089,591.691,428,205.301,781,101.311,885,493.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate1.19%2.19%3.19%
Year 1 PV (M)422,340.17426,514.08430,687.98
Year 2 PV (M)663,537.73676,717.77690,027.43
Year 3 PV (M)880,503.48906,867.86933,753.34
Year 4 PV (M)1,075,012.951,118,143.671,162,559.39
Year 5 PV (M)1,248,726.831,311,663.201,377,112.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)39,939,583.2541,952,555.6344,045,885.79
Equity Value (M)44,229,704.4046,392,462.2148,640,025.92
Shares Outstanding (M)15,501.3115,501.3115,501.31
Fair Value$2,853.29$2,992.81$3,137.80
Upside / Downside459.47%486.83%515.26%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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