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Murphy USA Inc.

ID: MUSA SECTOR: Consumer Cyclical INDUSTRY: Specialty Retail
496.78
+5.65 (1.15%)
Ref: 2026-04-20

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $645.25 - $1,750.03 $988.91
Multi-Stage DDM $354.67 - $387.66 $370.86
Blended Fair Value $679.89
Stock Price$490.70

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 2.1251.7661.5291.2481.0260.2340.0000.0000.0000.000
YoY % 20.37%15.47%22.48%21.66%339.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Yield 0.43%0.36%0.31%0.25%0.21%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

CAGRValue
5 Year55.51%
10 Year0.00%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $645.25 - $1,750.03 $988.91

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 470.60 470.60 470.60
(=) Cash Required 94.12 58.83 35.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share 19.28 21.09 22.29
LTM Dividend per Share 2.125 2.125 2.125
(=) Adjusted Dividend 21.406 23.214 24.419

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 470.60 501.19533.77568.46605.41644.76
Projected Dividends 41.50 125.30218.84324.02441.95580.29

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 118.89 120.01 121.14
Year 2 PV 188.71 192.31 195.94
Year 3 PV 253.93 261.22 268.65
Year 4 PV 314.77 326.87 339.33
Year 5 PV 375.61 393.75 412.59
TV PV 5,673.29 5,947.31 6,231.82
Equity Value 6,925.20 7,241.48 7,569.46
Fair Value $354.67 $370.86 $387.66

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EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
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GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
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BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
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BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
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EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
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FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%