Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Parkin Company PJSC (PARKIN.AE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.75 - $2.71$2.20
Multi-Stage$4.03 - $4.44$4.23
Blended Fair Value$3.21
Current Price$5.50
Upside-41.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.150.140.040.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---55.28%6.46%218.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.33%5.08%4.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)561.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)280.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)281.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.3870.2442.14
Cash Retained (M)281.06281.06281.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.38-70.24-42.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)168.67210.82238.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,999.212,999.212,999.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.75$2.20$2.71
Upside / Downside-68.16%-60.05%-50.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)561.92556.30550.74545.23539.78534.38550.42
Payout Ratio49.98%57.99%65.99%73.99%82.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)280.87322.58363.43403.44442.60480.95509.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)300.15303.22306.28
Year 2 PV (M)314.65321.11327.63
Year 3 PV (M)325.00335.05345.31
Year 4 PV (M)331.76345.51359.69
Year 5 PV (M)335.44352.91371.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,485.1711,031.1511,599.65
Equity Value (M)12,092.1812,688.9513,309.65
Shares Outstanding (M)2,999.212,999.212,999.21
Fair Value$4.03$4.23$4.44
Upside / Downside-26.69%-23.08%-19.31%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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