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Toll Brothers, Inc.

ID: TOL SECTOR: Consumer Cyclical INDUSTRY: Residential Construction
147.29
+0.60 (0.41%)
Ref: 2026-04-20

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $354.74 - $964.31 $544.46
Multi-Stage DDM $198.58 - $217.06 $207.65
Blended Fair Value $376.06
Stock Price$139.93

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.9730.8920.8200.7540.6090.4310.4340.4000.2280.000
YoY % 9.05%8.73%8.88%23.73%41.26%-0.75%8.56%75.76%0.00%0.00%
Yield 0.70%0.64%0.59%0.54%0.44%0.31%0.31%0.29%0.16%0.00%

CAGRValue
5 Year17.68%
10 Year0.00%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $354.74 - $964.31 $544.46

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 1,346.49 1,346.49 1,346.49
(=) Cash Required 269.30 168.31 100.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share 10.80 11.81 12.48
LTM Dividend per Share 0.973 0.973 0.973
(=) Adjusted Dividend 11.769 12.781 13.455

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 1,346.49 1,434.011,527.221,626.491,732.211,844.80
Projected Dividends 97.08 358.50626.16927.101,264.511,660.32

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 340.16 343.38 346.61
Year 2 PV 539.95 550.23 560.61
Year 3 PV 726.55 747.41 768.66
Year 4 PV 900.62 935.26 970.88
Year 5 PV 1,074.70 1,126.61 1,180.50
TV PV 16,232.47 17,016.51 17,830.55
Equity Value 19,814.45 20,719.40 21,657.81
Fair Value $198.58 $207.65 $217.06

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EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
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AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
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GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
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CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
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