DDM Analysis: PARKIN.AE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.75 - $2.71	$2.20
Multi-Stage	$4.03 - $4.44	$4.23
Blended Fair Value	$3.21
Current Price	$5.50
Upside	-41.56%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.07	0.15	0.14	0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-55.28%	6.46%	218.74%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.33%	5.08%	4.90%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	561.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	280.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)	281.06

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	112.38	70.24	42.14
Cash Retained (M)	281.06	281.06	281.06
(-) Cash Required (M)	-112.38	-70.24	-42.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)	168.67	210.82	238.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,999.21	2,999.21	2,999.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.07	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.09	0.09	0.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.07	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.15	0.16	0.17
WACC / Discount Rate	6.39%	6.39%	6.39%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$1.75	$2.20	$2.71
Upside / Downside	-68.16%	-60.05%	-50.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	561.92	556.30	550.74	545.23	539.78	534.38	550.42
Payout Ratio	49.98%	57.99%	65.99%	73.99%	82.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	280.87	322.58	363.43	403.44	442.60	480.95	509.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.39%	6.39%	6.39%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	300.15	303.22	306.28
Year 2 PV (M)	314.65	321.11	327.63
Year 3 PV (M)	325.00	335.05	345.31
Year 4 PV (M)	331.76	345.51	359.69
Year 5 PV (M)	335.44	352.91	371.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10,485.17	11,031.15	11,599.65
Equity Value (M)	12,092.18	12,688.95	13,309.65
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,999.21	2,999.21	2,999.21
Fair Value	$4.03	$4.23	$4.44
Upside / Downside	-26.69%	-23.08%	-19.31%

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Parkin Company PJSC (PARKIN.AE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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