Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $211,353.65 - $544,561.32 | $320,301.27 |
| Multi-Stage | $256,076.27 - $281,047.53 | $268,325.88 |
| Blended Fair Value | $294,313.58 | |
| Current Price | $39,100.00 | |
| Upside | 652.72% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -27.86% | 213.10% | 284.10 | 85.52 | 2,608.22 | 82.34 | 559.28 | 1,454.09 | 96.20 | 77.62 | 162.08 | 238.35 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 232.20% | -96.72% | 3,067.55% | -85.28% | -61.54% | 1,411.55% | 23.94% | -52.11% | -32.00% | 7,596,063.31% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.80% | 0.32% | 9.62% | 0.21% | 1.66% | 6.76% | 0.20% | 0.16% | 0.36% | 0.62% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 872,328.27 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 254,082.89 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 618,245.39 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 174,465.65 | 109,041.03 | 65,424.62 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 618,245.39 | 618,245.39 | 618,245.39 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -174,465.65 | -109,041.03 | -65,424.62 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 443,779.73 | 509,204.35 | 552,820.77 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 91.92 | 91.92 | 91.92 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 4,827.92 | 5,539.68 | 6,014.18 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2,764.19 | 2,764.19 | 2,764.19 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 4,827.92 | 5,539.68 | 6,014.18 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 7,592.11 | 8,303.87 | 8,778.37 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | 2.63% | 3.63% | 4.63% |
| Fair Value | $211,353.65 | $320,301.27 | $544,561.32 |
| Upside / Downside | 440.55% | 719.18% | 1,292.74% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 872,328.27 | 904,010.09 | 936,842.55 | 970,867.44 | 1,006,128.07 | 1,042,669.32 | 1,073,949.40 |
| Payout Ratio | 29.13% | 41.30% | 53.48% | 65.65% | 77.83% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 254,082.89 | 373,370.49 | 500,987.69 | 637,382.17 | 783,023.16 | 938,402.39 | 993,403.20 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | 2.63% | 3.63% | 4.63% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 347,792.23 | 351,180.97 | 354,569.70 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 434,697.19 | 443,209.46 | 451,804.26 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 515,156.97 | 530,362.56 | 545,864.46 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 589,514.06 | 612,827.92 | 636,826.53 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 658,094.95 | 690,786.79 | 724,765.12 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 20,993,147.73 | 22,036,013.34 | 23,119,917.94 |
| Equity Value (M) | 23,538,403.14 | 24,664,381.04 | 25,833,748.02 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 91.92 | 91.92 | 91.92 |
| Fair Value | $256,076.27 | $268,325.88 | $281,047.53 |
| Upside / Downside | 554.93% | 586.26% | 618.79% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.77% | $1.48 | 22.19% |
| FUSB | First US Bancshares, Inc. | 1.76% | $0.25 | 26.72% |
| R | Ryder System, Inc. | 1.76% | $3.41 | 28.29% |
| RGA | Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated | 1.75% | $3.55 | 27.34% |
| TFG.AS | Tetragon Financial Group Limited | 1.75% | $0.30 | 3.32% |
| WFC | Wells Fargo & Company | 1.75% | $1.67 | 25.46% |
| HCKT | The Hackett Group, Inc. | 1.74% | $0.34 | 85.97% |
| LEG | Leggett & Platt, Incorporated | 1.74% | $0.19 | 11.94% |
| RPRX | Royalty Pharma plc | 1.74% | $0.67 | 49.36% |
| SFBC | Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. | 1.74% | $0.76 | 37.96% |
| SXT | Sensient Technologies Corporation | 1.74% | $1.63 | 50.00% |
| MKTX | MarketAxess Holdings Inc. | 1.73% | $3.09 | 52.31% |
| PRG | PROG Holdings, Inc. | 1.73% | $0.51 | 12.57% |
| STEL | Stellar Bancorp, Inc. | 1.73% | $0.53 | 26.88% |
| UFCS | United Fire Group, Inc. | 1.73% | $0.62 | 14.63% |
| AMAL | Amalgamated Financial Corp. | 1.72% | $0.55 | 16.32% |
| BK | The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | 1.72% | $2.01 | 27.06% |
| COWN | Cowen Inc. | 1.72% | $0.67 | 33.32% |
| DG | Dollar General Corporation | 1.72% | $2.35 | 40.66% |
| AMKR | Amkor Technology, Inc. | 1.71% | $0.73 | 59.04% |
| DTF | DTF Tax-Free Income 2028 Term Fund Inc. | 1.71% | $0.20 | 80.42% |
| ERIE | Erie Indemnity Company | 1.71% | $4.75 | 38.59% |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries, Inc. | 1.71% | $0.68 | 17.01% |
| MTCH | Match Group, Inc. | 1.71% | $0.54 | 25.07% |
| LBRT | Liberty Energy Inc. | 1.70% | $0.32 | 28.43% |
| OVBC | Ohio Valley Banc Corp. | 1.70% | $0.67 | 28.36% |
| WTFC | Wintrust Financial Corporation | 1.70% | $2.43 | 20.92% |
| BANF | BancFirst Corporation | 1.69% | $1.80 | 25.72% |
| BDL | Flanigan's Enterprises, Inc. | 1.69% | $0.50 | 21.50% |
| CDHAX | Calvert International Responsible Idx A | 1.69% | $0.64 | 41.92% |
| CINR | Sisecam Resources LP | 1.69% | $0.34 | 19.21% |
| EXPO | Exponent, Inc. | 1.69% | $1.18 | 58.07% |
| GD | General Dynamics Corporation | 1.69% | $5.80 | 37.41% |
| HQI | HireQuest, Inc. | 1.69% | $0.18 | 36.36% |
| OTF | Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. | 1.69% | $0.24 | 9.20% |
| PHIN | PHINIA Inc. | 1.68% | $1.09 | 47.78% |
| PTRS | Partners Bancorp | 1.68% | $0.12 | 13.62% |
| RNGR | Ranger Energy Services, Inc. | 1.67% | $0.24 | 34.90% |
| HQH | Abrdn Healthcare Investors | 1.66% | $0.31 | 6.95% |
| JILL | J.Jill, Inc. | 1.66% | $0.23 | 10.45% |
| PSH.AS | Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. | 1.65% | $0.85 | 6.48% |
| SKT | Tanger Inc. | 1.65% | $0.55 | 58.16% |
| USCB | USCB Financial Holdings, Inc. | 1.64% | $0.30 | 18.70% |
| BOTJ | Bank of the James Financial Group, Inc. | 1.62% | $0.30 | 26.41% |
| RS | Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. | 1.62% | $4.78 | 34.66% |
| SCI | Service Corporation International | 1.62% | $1.25 | 33.57% |
| SMLP | Summit Midstream Partners, LP | 1.62% | $0.59 | 6.02% |
| TKR | The Timken Company | 1.62% | $1.40 | 32.90% |
| TRINL | Trinity Capital Inc. - 7.00% No | 1.62% | $0.41 | 20.50% |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corporation | 1.61% | $0.86 | 18.56% |