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The Timken Company

ID: TKR SECTOR: Industrials INDUSTRY: Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories
108.45
+0.79 (0.73%)
Ref: 2026-04-20

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $76.00 - $125.68 $97.13
Multi-Stage DDM $53.15 - $58.22 $55.64
Blended Fair Value $76.38
Stock Price$106.73

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 1.4001.3581.3041.2341.1971.1391.1041.0941.0561.030
YoY % 3.04%4.16%5.70%3.05%5.14%3.14%0.92%3.63%2.50%0.18%
Yield 1.31%1.27%1.22%1.16%1.12%1.07%1.03%1.03%0.99%0.96%

CAGRValue
5 Year4.21%
10 Year3.13%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 2.67% to 4.67% 3.67%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $76.00 - $125.68 $97.13

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 288.40 288.40 288.40
(=) Cash Required 57.68 36.05 21.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share 3.29 3.59 3.80
LTM Dividend per Share 1.400 1.400 1.400
(=) Adjusted Dividend 4.685 4.993 5.198

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 288.40 298.99309.96321.34333.14345.37
Projected Dividends 98.30 74.75127.08183.16243.19310.83

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 70.90 71.59 72.28
Year 2 PV 109.53 111.67 113.84
Year 3 PV 143.43 147.66 151.98
Year 4 PV 173.03 179.87 186.91
Year 5 PV 200.94 210.91 221.28
TV PV 3,034.96 3,185.67 3,342.31
Equity Value 3,732.79 3,907.38 4,088.60
Fair Value $53.15 $55.64 $58.22

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DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
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NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
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FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%