Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $211,353.65 - $544,561.32 | $320,301.27 |
| Multi-Stage | $256,076.27 - $281,047.53 | $268,325.88 |
| Blended Fair Value | $294,313.58 | |
| Current Price | $39,100.00 | |
| Upside | 652.72% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -27.86% | 213.10% | 284.10 | 85.52 | 2,608.22 | 82.34 | 559.28 | 1,454.09 | 96.20 | 77.62 | 162.08 | 238.35 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 232.20% | -96.72% | 3,067.55% | -85.28% | -61.54% | 1,411.55% | 23.94% | -52.11% | -32.00% | 7,596,063.31% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.80% | 0.32% | 9.62% | 0.21% | 1.66% | 6.76% | 0.20% | 0.16% | 0.36% | 0.62% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 872,328.27 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 254,082.89 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 618,245.39 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 174,465.65 | 109,041.03 | 65,424.62 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 618,245.39 | 618,245.39 | 618,245.39 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -174,465.65 | -109,041.03 | -65,424.62 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 443,779.73 | 509,204.35 | 552,820.77 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 91.92 | 91.92 | 91.92 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 4,827.92 | 5,539.68 | 6,014.18 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2,764.19 | 2,764.19 | 2,764.19 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 4,827.92 | 5,539.68 | 6,014.18 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 7,592.11 | 8,303.87 | 8,778.37 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | 2.63% | 3.63% | 4.63% |
| Fair Value | $211,353.65 | $320,301.27 | $544,561.32 |
| Upside / Downside | 440.55% | 719.18% | 1,292.74% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 872,328.27 | 904,010.09 | 936,842.55 | 970,867.44 | 1,006,128.07 | 1,042,669.32 | 1,073,949.40 |
| Payout Ratio | 29.13% | 41.30% | 53.48% | 65.65% | 77.83% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 254,082.89 | 373,370.49 | 500,987.69 | 637,382.17 | 783,023.16 | 938,402.39 | 993,403.20 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | 2.63% | 3.63% | 4.63% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 347,792.23 | 351,180.97 | 354,569.70 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 434,697.19 | 443,209.46 | 451,804.26 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 515,156.97 | 530,362.56 | 545,864.46 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 589,514.06 | 612,827.92 | 636,826.53 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 658,094.95 | 690,786.79 | 724,765.12 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 20,993,147.73 | 22,036,013.34 | 23,119,917.94 |
| Equity Value (M) | 23,538,403.14 | 24,664,381.04 | 25,833,748.02 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 91.92 | 91.92 | 91.92 |
| Fair Value | $256,076.27 | $268,325.88 | $281,047.53 |
| Upside / Downside | 554.93% | 586.26% | 618.79% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMBC | Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. | 1.61% | $0.94 | 17.19% |
| VIRC | Virco Mfg. Corporation | 1.61% | $0.10 | 41.34% |
| CNO | CNO Financial Group, Inc. | 1.60% | $0.67 | 22.53% |
| IVT | InvenTrust Properties Corp. | 1.60% | $0.45 | 29.49% |
| KBR | KBR, Inc. | 1.60% | $0.65 | 21.84% |
| OBK | Origin Bancorp, Inc. | 1.60% | $0.60 | 31.45% |
| TNC | Tennant Company | 1.60% | $1.18 | 39.96% |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc. | 1.59% | $2.03 | 27.33% |
| RVSB | Riverview Bancorp, Inc. | 1.59% | $0.08 | 35.84% |
| 0HPW.L | Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | 1.58% | $3.49 | 44.54% |
| CCF | Chase Corporation | 1.58% | $2.01 | 57.26% |
| MSIF | MSC Income Fund, Inc. | 1.58% | $0.21 | 12.72% |
| PRI | Primerica, Inc. | 1.58% | $4.10 | 18.44% |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | 1.57% | $2.82 | 44.28% |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | 1.57% | $4.79 | 51.11% |
| MRO | Marathon Oil Corporation | 1.57% | $0.45 | 19.02% |
| NEU | NewMarket Corporation | 1.57% | $10.82 | 22.69% |
| PSMT | PriceSmart, Inc. | 1.57% | $1.93 | 39.29% |
| TFSL | TFS Financial Corporation | 1.57% | $0.21 | 65.45% |
| UFPI | UFP Industries, Inc. | 1.57% | $1.44 | 25.79% |
| 0M3Q.L | Zoetis Inc. | 1.56% | $1.95 | 32.55% |
| 0K92.L | Northrop Grumman Corporation | 1.55% | $8.80 | 31.43% |
| 0QZ5.L | Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation | 1.55% | $1.25 | 28.62% |
| EMR | Emerson Electric Co. | 1.55% | $2.11 | 51.98% |
| SYF | Synchrony Financial | 1.55% | $1.32 | 13.96% |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | 1.55% | $2.65 | 40.30% |
| 0HQW.L | C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | 1.54% | $2.48 | 50.26% |
| 0J76.L | Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. | 1.54% | $5.36 | 37.08% |
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics, Inc. | 1.54% | $0.68 | 65.62% |
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza, Inc. | 1.54% | $6.54 | 37.90% |
| GRC | The Gorman-Rupp Company | 1.54% | $0.74 | 38.69% |
| DFS | Discover Financial Services | 1.53% | $3.06 | 16.08% |
| SPFI | South Plains Financial, Inc. | 1.53% | $0.59 | 16.67% |
| JMSB | John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. | 1.52% | $0.30 | 29.07% |
| 0J3H.L | The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. | 1.51% | $2.06 | 16.53% |
| TRV | The Travelers Companies, Inc. | 1.51% | $4.29 | 16.63% |
| CISMX | Clarkston Partners Fund Institutional Class | 1.50% | $0.19 | 32.74% |
| FCAP | First Capital, Inc. | 1.50% | $0.88 | 28.53% |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp, Inc. | 1.50% | $0.26 | 22.66% |
| OBT | Orange County Bancorp, Inc. | 1.50% | $0.43 | 15.62% |
| OSK | Oshkosh Corporation | 1.50% | $1.99 | 19.24% |
| SAIC | Science Applications International Corporation | 1.50% | $1.51 | 19.14% |
| FUL | H.B. Fuller Company | 1.49% | $0.90 | 43.28% |
| CBNK | Capital Bancorp, Inc. | 1.48% | $0.41 | 14.04% |
| FRBA | First Bank | 1.48% | $0.24 | 14.40% |
| ANDE | The Andersons, Inc. | 1.47% | $0.78 | 36.39% |
| IROQ | IF Bancorp, Inc. | 1.47% | $0.40 | 25.40% |
| WM | Waste Management, Inc. | 1.47% | $3.22 | 50.78% |
| ATR | AptarGroup, Inc. | 1.45% | $1.78 | 28.44% |
| CHX | ChampionX Corporation | 1.45% | $0.37 | 24.70% |